Progressives
The Democratic Party is having an interesting primary season. In more “progressive” areas, several moderate Democrats, including incumbents, lost their primary to much more progressive candidates. Some of those progressives ran under the banner of the Democratic Socialists, while other avoided it. But many progressives are aligned with the Bernie Sanders-Elizabeth Warren-Alexandria Ocasio Cortez wing of the Party.
There’s a lot going on there. Part is the absolute frustration of Democratic voters with the current political climate. Some incumbents, even Congressman Dan Goldman of New York, a former counsel to the House Committee that impeached Trump, were seen as not “fighting hard enough” against the MAGA administration. It was a “throw the bums out” vote.
Others didn’t find traction with nuanced arguments about how to combat the current cost of living increases, the “affordability crisis”. Some candidates just didn’t relate: perhaps Goldman, an heir to the Levi-Strauss fortune, or Jack Schlossberg, a Kennedy family member, couldn’t connect with the Democratic Primary voter.
What does all of this prove?
Primary Voters
Well, first of all, the anger is real. Incumbents, even members of the Democratic opposition, better be able to show that they’ve sacrificed to try to “Resist”, if they expect to motivate their base to come to the polls. Second, the “affordability crisis” is real as well. Americans are well aware of the tremendous divide between the billionaire/millionaire influence on our government, versus the struggle of making it day-to-day for the rest of us. The President is lauding the stock market, the “state” of 401-k’s, and “hanging” with Elon, Jeff and Tim; while many Americans are scrambling at the end of the month to pay bills.
And there’s another, quiet issue that Democrats are struggling to deal with. It’s one that cost Joe Biden, and later Kamala Harris a lot of votes, perhaps enough to lose the Presidency. It’s the US support of Israel.
October 7th
After the Hamas terrorist attack on Israel that killed thousands on October 7th, 2023, the US was aligned with Israel. After all, who could relate better to a “dastardly” attack on civilians than Americans, the victim of the 9-11 attacks that changed the world? But as it became clear that Israel’s response with completely untethered from concern for civilian casualties, many Democrats, particularly those with Palestinian connections, began to protest. And while the Biden Administration tried to rein-in Netanyahu, the Israeli policy became clear. They were going to wipe out Hamas, and any civilian caught in the crossfire was simply “collateral damage”. Over seventy thousand died.
Israeli actions weren’t a problem for MAGA Republicans. Their Christian Nationalist base is directly linked to the survival of Israel, and Trump gave “carte blanche” to Netanyahu. After he gained the Presidency, Trump even allowed the Israeli leader to convince him to wage war in Iran, a crisis that still continues today.
Democratic Constituents
But one of the Democratic key constituencies is Arab-Americans. One example is the swing state of Michigan, where Dearborn and other Detroit suburbs have the largest Arab-American population outside of the Middle East. But other large groups are in New York City, New Jersey, and Los Angeles.
Another key constituency is younger voters, many turned off by Biden’s inability to control Israel’s actions. All of that put the Democratic Party “in the middle” over Israel, particularly as America’s Jewish population was traditionally Democrat for nearly a century. (And American Jews were also divided. Some support Israeli actions at all costs, and support the MAGA agenda. Some see Netanyahu as an extremist who threatens the status of Jewish people worldwide).
Israeli Influence
The Israeli government is very involved in American politics. The far-right Israeli political party, Likud, is financially supported by the Adelson Vegas casino fortune. Adelson also was a major supporter of Donald Trump. And Israel sponsors a major political action committee here in the United States called AIPAC (the American Israel Public Affairs Committee). They contribute to both Democratic and Republican campaigns, based on the candidate’s continuing support of the current Israeli government.
And to “cover all the bases” there is also the “J Street” political action committee, a progressive group more closely aligned to the Israeli opposition party, the Labor Party. “J Street” calls for peace and a two-state solution in the Middle East.
AIPAC has used its money to support candidates in Democratic primaries that are “pro-Israel”, and so has J-Street. And that support was used by opposition, pro-Palestinian candidates, to motivate their voters to the lower turnout primary elections. It was part Democratic Socialist plan to win in New York City. And now it’s on the table in the Democratic primary for the US Senate nomination in Michigan. The seat is crucial to Democratic hopes of regaining a majority in the Senate, with Republicans running a well-known former Congressman, Mike Rogers. The incumbent Democrat Gary Peters is retiring.
Michigan
The race is now between Congressman Haley Stevens and public health administrator Abdul El-Sayed. State Senator Mallory McMorrow, endorsed by Elizabeth Warren, dropped out of the race, but her name remains on the ballot. Not surprisingly, AIPAC is pouring money into unsolicited ads for Stevens, and she is endorsed by the “establishment” of the Democratic Party, including Nancy Pelosi. El-Sayed is endorsed by Bernie Sanders and AOC.
Stevens is obviously the “safe” candidate for Democrats interested in taking control of the Senate. But El-Sayed might, like the New York City candidates, generate a lot more interest in Democratic primary voters.
Democratic angst with Netanyahu is going to continue to be an issue, especially as Trump now has linked Israeli action in Lebanon to world oil supplies and the Strait of Hormuz. It ties all three main issues in the 2026 election together: Trump, affordability, and Israel’s actions. Michigan’s primary might give us a clue what to expect.
