{"id":7886,"date":"2025-05-30T10:36:58","date_gmt":"2025-05-30T14:36:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=7886"},"modified":"2025-05-30T10:37:00","modified_gmt":"2025-05-30T14:37:00","slug":"deficits-debts-and-doom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/05\/30\/deficits-debts-and-doom\/","title":{"rendered":"Deficits, Debts and Doom"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Everybody\u2019s Fault<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The government of the United States of America might be controlled by Republicans or Democrats, liberals or conservatives, internationalists or populists. But one thing is the same.\u00a0\u00a0No matter who controls the Presidency and the Congress, or even when the power was split:\u00a0\u00a0almost everyone spends more money than the government brings in.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

OK, not ALWAYS. Eisenhower balanced three budgets in his term, and\u00a0\u00a0Nixon balanced the budget in 1969. Bill Clinton balanced it for four years, from 1998 to 2001.\u00a0\u00a0And before the Great Depression, 1933, there were balanced budgets most of the time. \u00a0But in the \u201cmodern era\u201d, since the New Deal, the Government has consistently run a deficit.\u00a0\u00a0The few exceptions just highlight the reality.\u00a0\u00a0Over nearly a century, eighty-two annual budgets exceeded income.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Unlike the \u201cseveral states\u201d, there is no law requiring Congress (or the President) to balance the budget.\u00a0\u00a0Before the \u201cmodern era\u201d, Federal deficit spending was reserved for times of\u00a0\u00a0crisis:\u00a0\u00a0the Civil War and World War I.\u00a0\u00a0But the Great Depression, followed by World War II, made deficit spending a kind of \u201cregular thing\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0The Cold War continued that trend, with Ronald Reagan intentionally out-spending the Soviet Union on defense in order to break their economy.\u00a0\u00a0It worked, but left the US nearly $3 trillion in debt, three times more than when his Presidency began.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Clock<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Let\u2019s take a moment to explain the terminology.\u00a0\u00a0A deficit is simple:\u00a0\u00a0this year the US government will spend $6.8 trillion, and bring in $4.9 trillion.\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s a $1.9 trillion deficit (makes Reagan look like a spendthrift).\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Add all of the annual deficits together, along with the few years when the US Government ran a surplus, and that\u2019s the total debt:\u00a0what the US Government has spent more than it brought in.\u00a0\u00a0The \u201cbutcher\u2019s bill\u201d is now around $36.9 trillion.\u00a0\u00a0You can see a running total on the\u00a0US Debt Clock<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(By the way, there\u2019s a \u201cDOGE Clock\u201d on the \u201cDebt Clock\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0It claims that DOGE saved the Government almost $500 billion.\u00a0\u00a0But all the non-DOGE audits show that Mr. Musk\u2019s \u201cwunder-kind\u201d actually saved about $150 million, while spending around $120 million.\u00a0\u00a0Sure, $30 million is \u201creal\u201d money.\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s about the cost of one of the two Navy fighters that rolled off USS Harry Truman <\/em>and into the Red Sea last month. But it doesn\u2019t make much of a real dent in the deficit or the debt).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why is the clock running?\u00a0\u00a0Because, just like my credit card bill, the money in debt is \u201cborrowed\u201d in one way or another.\u00a0\u00a0And like any borrowed money, the borrower is charging interest against the debt.\u00a0\u00a0So, just like the monthly credit card bill, it\u2019s constantly growing, even if the government isn\u2019t spending more on something else at the moment.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economics 101<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

In case you missed it, the 2025 US Government is ten times more indebted than the it was thirty-five years ago.  Part of that amazing expansion is mitigated by the \u201cvalue of the dollar\u201d.  What cost $1 in 1990, now costs $2.47 today (Inflation Calculator<\/a>).  The dollar is worth, in purchasing power, about 40% of what it used to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But it\u2019s all tied together.  The value of the money, what a dollar can purchase, is mostly determined by the amount of money in circulation.  It\u2019s \u201cEconomics 101\u201d, supply and demand.  If there is more money in supply, and the amount of goods to be purchased is relatively stable, than those goods will cost more.  The \u201cgood purchased\u201d didn\u2019t change, but the value of the dollar to buy it went down.  We call that inflation.  And since the \u201csupply of money\u201d is increased by the tools the Government uses to finance the debt, then we can say that the money supply is increased by $36.9 trillion and growing.  That\u2019s the amount of the debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tools<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

What are the \u201ctools\u201d?\u00a0\u00a0The US Treasury issues government bonds, a loan, a very safe investment for the public (and other Nations).\u00a0\u00a0They are \u201csafe\u201d, because \u201ceveryone\u201d trusts that the US Government will ultimately pay off those bonds, with interest, without fail.\u00a0\u00a0And when those bonds (loans) come due \u2013 the Treasury sells more bonds to pay off the old ones.\u00a0\u00a080% of those bonds are owned by the public, both in the US and by foreign investors. 20% is owned by other parts of the US Government (US Debt)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s kind of like using a credit card to pay off another credit card.\u00a0\u00a0Sure, Mastercard is clear, but now Discover is a lot bigger.\u00a0\u00a0And the interest keeps adding up.\u00a0\u00a0Last year, the US Government spent $1 trillion, or about 15% of the annual budget, for interest payments on the debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Big, Beautiful Bill<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

So what about the \u201cBig, Beautiful Bill\u201d (BBB) just passed by the US House of Representatives?\u00a0\u00a0Well, the BBB cuts a lot of US spending, particularly on Medicaid and the SNAP (food stamp) programs:\u00a0\u00a0$1 trillion.\u00a0\u00a0And it saves more money by cutting Student Loan and Clean Energy\u00a0\u00a0benefits.\u00a0\u00a0And it also cuts a lot of taxes, particularly to the wealthy (CNBC<\/a>).\u00a0\u00a0The Congressional Budget Office, a non-partisan part of the Government, scores the BBB as adding $2.7 trillion to the debt in the next ten years.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But part of that \u201cscoring\u201d was based on the Government income from the Trump Tariffs.\u00a0\u00a0As the courts are now asserting that those tariffs are Unconstitutional, the BBB might add much more to the total debt, as much as $10 trillion in the next decade.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0In his first term, Trump added $7.8 trillion to the National Debt.\u00a0\u00a0In contrast, Obama added $9 trillion (in two terms), and Biden added $4.7 trillion.\u00a0\u00a0As already noted, almost everyone knows how to spend money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So what\u2019s the worry?\u00a0\u00a0Well, first of all, the government will continue to spend more and more just to \u201cservice\u201d the debt.\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s money not going to education, or healthcare, or even fighter jets rolling into the sea.\u00a0\u00a0And second, the increased debt continues to reduce the value of the dollar.\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s fine, as long as incomes continue to go up, a \u201cbreak-even\u201d deal.\u00a0\u00a0But for those on fixed incomes, pensions and the like, increased prices means decreased quality of life.\u00a0\u00a0And for those dependent on government help, Medicaid and Medicare, they will face a double whammy:\u00a0\u00a0higher prices, and less help.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s America\u2019s problem, no matter what your political \u201cflavor\u201d.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Everybody\u2019s Fault The government of the United States of America might be controlled by Republicans or Democrats, liberals or conservatives, internationalists or populists. But one thing is the same.\u00a0\u00a0No matter who controls the Presidency and the Congress, or even when the power was split:\u00a0\u00a0almost everyone spends more money than the government brings in.\u00a0\u00a0 OK, not … Continue reading “Deficits, Debts and Doom”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nDeficits, Debts and Doom : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/05\/30\/deficits-debts-and-doom\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deficits, Debts and Doom : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Everybody\u2019s Fault The government of the United States of America might be controlled by Republicans or Democrats, liberals or conservatives, internationalists or populists. 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