{"id":7688,"date":"2025-03-03T08:56:34","date_gmt":"2025-03-03T13:56:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=7688"},"modified":"2025-03-03T08:56:37","modified_gmt":"2025-03-03T13:56:37","slug":"stratego-or-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/03\/03\/stratego-or-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Stratego or Risk"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"769\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"7689\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/03\/03\/stratego-or-risk\/images-9\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?fit=1127%2C1500&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1127,1500\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;1&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"images\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?fit=769%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?resize=769%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7689\" style=\"width:126px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?resize=769%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 769w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?resize=225%2C300&amp;ssl=1 225w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?resize=768%2C1022&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/images.jpeg?w=1127&amp;ssl=1 1127w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 709px) 85vw, (max-width: 909px) 67vw, (max-width: 984px) 61vw, (max-width: 1362px) 45vw, 600px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Teenaged Games<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When I was a teenager there weren\u2019t video games.\u00a0 \u00a0Instead, some of my friends played board games.\u00a0\u00a0A long night of<em> Monopoly <\/em>was the &#8220;standard&#8221;, stashing money under the board so no one knew exactly how you were doing.\u00a0\u00a0Or when we got older and \u201ccooler\u201d, a penny-ante poker game (and even older came cigars).\u00a0\u00a0But in my younger teens, my friends and I played\u00a0\u00a0\u201cpolitical\u201d board games.\u00a0\u00a0Some friends were enamored with <em>Risk<\/em>, a \u201cconquer the world\u201d game of alliances, and double-crosses that could take weeks.\u00a0\u00a0A few even played <em>Chess<\/em>, but you had to study to be good at that, and I didn\u2019t want to spend the time.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But there was<em> Stratego<\/em> (by Milton-Bradley), a conquest game resembling a cross between <em>Checkers<\/em> and <em>Risk<\/em>, where a roll of the dice could determine the fate of armies and battles.\u00a0\u00a0It wasn\u2019t an \u201call night\u201d game, but it allowed for \u201ctactical thinking\u201d without committing to months of preparation.\u00a0It was\u00a0sort of like my commitment to Algebra II; I\u2019d cram the night before the test, but I didn\u2019t spend daily time worrying about it.\u00a0\u00a0My grades were commensurate with the effort.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">America First<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The board games of my youth are now in dusty boxes on high shelves in a closet.\u00a0 \u00a0Games of strategy today are on video, and much more \u201ctactile\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0The player becomes the soldier on the line, living or dying in <em>Call of Duty <\/em>by their skill, wile, and luck.\u00a0\u00a0And as an adult, I know we live in a world of \u201cRisk\u201d, where alliances are made and broken, and principle is often overcome by national or even personal interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I\u2019ve already written about the changes in American policy brought on by Donald Trump (<a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/02\/24\/zero-sum\/\">Zero-Sum<\/a>).\u00a0 \u00a0The United States of America has made a dramatic about-face in our foreign view, from one of group protection and benefit, to a policy of bilateral negotiation.\u00a0\u00a0Our new view is pretty simple:\u00a0\u00a0what\u2019s in it for us.\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s a very short-term, <em>Stratego<\/em> view of world balance, one echoing the isolationism  of the 1930\u2019s (the original \u201cAmerica First\u201d). We\u2019ve gone from playing <em>Chess<\/em> or <em>Risk<\/em>, to playing <em>Stratego<\/em>.\u00a0\u00a0A look at our twentieth century past demonstrates the potential consequences of the world\u2019s greatest economy \u201cgoing it alone\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But here we are.\u00a0\u00a0And I\u2019m watching a masterful \u201cgame player\u201d.\u00a0 \u00a0He doesn\u2019t have much money under the board, and he is, to quote the US President, playing from a weaker hand.\u00a0 And the current strategic master is really a gifted amateur.\u00a0\u00a0His name is Volodymyr Zelenskyy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NATO and Russia<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the old world order of two months ago, Zelenskyy\u2019s and Ukraine\u2019s place was clear.\u00a0 \u00a0The old world order saw NATO, led by the United States, balancing the avowed intention of Russia to re-conquer the Russian \u201cEmpire\u201d, the old Soviet Union.\u00a0\u00a0It was well-established, the outgrowth of the alliances that stopped Fascism in World War II.\u00a0\u00a0America wasn&#8217;t isolationist.\u00a0\u00a0Instead the US led a world alliance to keep the Soviet Union, and later China, from expanding their empires, cloaked in the cover of the Communist ideals.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When the Communists fell in the Soviet Union, there were briefly replaced by a democracy.\u00a0 \u00a0But the economic pressures of all of that \u201cpublic wealth\u201d (the definition of Communism) becoming private caused the rise of an oligarchs.\u00a0\u00a0They were rich, and they were powerful, and they wanted control of the nation.\u00a0\u00a0Vladimir Putin, a former KGB Colonel, rose to the top of the oligarchic pyramid.\u00a0\u00a0He served those with money so well that he became one himself.\u00a0\u00a0And now, anyone that stands against him takes that short step out of a 15<sup>th<\/sup>\u00a0floor window.\u00a0\u00a0Or their plane explodes:\u00a0\u00a0ask Yevgeny Prigozhin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Biden\u2019s Plan<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Over the past couple decades, the Soviet threat, countered by NATO, became the Russian threat.\u00a0\u00a0And Ukraine, while not a NATO member, became the perfect place to stop Russian expansionism.\u00a0 \u00a0Ukraine wanted to fight.\u00a0\u00a0They offered up the blood of their young men, and their fertile fields of grain, as the battlefield in the ultimate war to stop Russia.\u00a0\u00a0Putin made it clear, that this \u201cDomino Theory\u201d (reminiscent of the arguments to stay in the Vietnam War) was real.\u00a0\u00a0Ukraine, Moldova, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland and the rest are on the block.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That was the \u201cgrand theory\u201d of the Biden Administration.\u00a0\u00a0They marshalled NATO to back Ukraine, supplying weapons from bullets to F-16\u2019s; everything but the manpower itself to fight the war.\u00a0 \u00a0And Ukraine and Zelenskyy over three years, stood against the might of \u201cMother Russia\u201d, giving better than they got, and hanging onto the vast majority of their Nation.\u00a0\u00a0It was a \u201cRisk\u201d like plan:\u00a0\u00a0use Ukraine to stop Russia, rather than the all-out war that an invasion of a NATO member would require.\u00a0\u00a0Fight the smaller battle with Ukrainian lives sacrificed, rather than World War III.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And for Ukraine, it represented national survival. &nbsp;&nbsp;They were getting what they wanted, a nation that was not under the yoke of Russian imperialism.&nbsp;&nbsp;They made their trade:&nbsp;&nbsp;lives for freedom.&nbsp;&nbsp;Ukraine survived, and NATO and the United States benefitted.&nbsp;&nbsp;That was Zelenskyy\u2019s \u201cdeal\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/02\/28\/the-beat-down\/\">The Beat Down<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That isn\u2019t Trump\u2019s view of the world at all.\u00a0\u00a0 He finds himself more \u201callied\u201d with Putin\u2019s Russia.\u00a0\u00a0Trump, an oligarch himself, sees the ultimate power of the Russian leader as a \u201cmodel\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0Trump doesn\u2019t want to compromise with other (lesser, in his mind) NATO members.\u00a0\u00a0He wants to do what Putin does; get the most for the United States, regardless of the impact.\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s a <em>Stratego<\/em> like view, without the longer-term strategizing of <em>Risk<\/em>.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What does Trump want?\u00a0\u00a0He wants the mineral wealth of Ukraine, much of which is now under Russian control.\u00a0 \u00a0If he can\u2019t get that from Zelenskyy, he\u2019ll make a deal with Putin.\u00a0\u00a0And, of course, Trump has a personal score to settle with Zelenskyy.\u00a0\u00a0The Ukrainian dared to defy Trump\u2019s demand for \u201cdirt\u201d on Joe Biden in 2019, the \u201cperfect call\u201d that got Trump impeached by Congress.\u00a0\u00a0Trump can\u2019t make Zelenskyy step out a fifteenth floor window (at least, not yet) but he can humiliate him, and cut Ukraine off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">No Bait in the Trap<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So he lured Zelenskyy to Washington, dangling the hope of US support in exchange for Ukrainian mineral rights (or \u201crare earth\u201d as Trump calls it).\u00a0\u00a0 Then, in the White House, Trump and Vice President Vance did what they always wanted to do.\u00a0\u00a0They tried to humiliate the Ukrainian President, knowing he would probably \u201csubmit\u201d because he needed the deal.\u00a0\u00a0But there really wasn\u2019t a deal on the table for the help Zelenskyy needed.\u00a0\u00a0So he didn\u2019t submit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead, Zelenskyy stood up for himself and his Nation.\u00a0 \u00a0Isn\u2019t that what you\u2019d expect a national leader to do?\u00a0\u00a0He called out the disrespect shown by Vance and Trump, and he demonstrated the consequence of their short-term, bilateral thinking.\u00a0 He didn\u2019t throw away a deal, because there wasn\u2019t an acceptable deal on the table in the first place.\u00a0\u00a0Trump wanted \u201crare earth\u201d (old sixties band?) in exchange for vague assurances that didn\u2019t put bullets in Ukrainian guns or protection in Ukrainian skies.\u00a0\u00a0When Zelenskyy objected, Trump tossed the Ukrainian President out of the White House.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And then Zelenskyy flew to London, to meet with a majority of the NATO nations.\u00a0\u00a0 They not only gave him a hug (don\u2019t we all need one) but they offered the assurances he needed to continue his nation\u2019s life and death struggle with Russia.\u00a0\u00a0The Europeans made the deal that made sense for them. They too are under the Russian threat and worrying about another global war fought on their home soil.\u00a0\u00a0So they stuck with the \u201cBiden plan\u201d, even though the US was no longer part of it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Risk not Stratego<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zelenskyy is playing <em>Risk<\/em>, not <em>Stratego<\/em>.\u00a0\u00a0 He\u2019s trying to win long-term support to continue the battle for Ukrainian democracy.\u00a0\u00a0For the right deal with the US, he would have given up his \u201crare earth\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0But there was no deal; so he went to someone else.\u00a0\u00a0Now, Trump is left weaker.\u00a0\u00a0NATO is not behind him.\u00a0\u00a0And Russia has the minerals he wants.\u00a0\u00a0So what is his next tactical move?\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Trump&#8217;s gaming is tactical, but not strategic. But he\u2019s in a world with much longer-term consequences, and the<em> Risk<\/em> players are leaving him behind.\u00a0 \u00a0The outcome could be dire.\u00a0\u00a0If Putin determines he can now move against Europe, they will have no choice but to respond, with or without US help, just as their grandfathers did in 1939. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a0With Trump&#8217;s plan, so goes our Nation.\u00a0\u00a0We seemed to be \u201cdoomed\u201d to repeat the history of the 1930\u2019s.\u00a0\u00a0And we know what the outcome of that was.  It was the defining moment of my parents\u2019 generation:\u00a0\u00a0World War II.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Teenaged Games When I was a teenager there weren\u2019t video games.\u00a0 \u00a0Instead, some of my friends played board games.\u00a0\u00a0A long night of Monopoly was the &#8220;standard&#8221;, stashing money under the board so no one knew exactly how you were doing.\u00a0\u00a0Or when we got older and \u201ccooler\u201d, a penny-ante poker game (and even older came cigars).\u00a0\u00a0But &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/03\/03\/stratego-or-risk\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Stratego or Risk&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7688","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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