{"id":7610,"date":"2025-01-16T07:23:18","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T12:23:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=7610"},"modified":"2025-01-16T07:23:23","modified_gmt":"2025-01-16T12:23:23","slug":"the-new-arms-gap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/01\/16\/the-new-arms-gap\/","title":{"rendered":"The New Arms Gap"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I listened to President Biden’s farewell address last night – an American tradition that runs all the way back to George Washington. Like Washington (avoid foreign entanglements) and Eisenhower (military\/industrial complex) Biden warned us of a new threat – the power of billionaires and their influence on our government. Will we be a Republic, or an oligarchy?<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kennedy Button<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

President John Fitzgerald Kennedy is one of my \u201coriginal\u201d heroes.\u00a0\u00a0I was just four years-old when he was elected. But I proudly wore the Kennedy button that Mom pinned on my sweater.\u00a0\u00a0One of my earliest memories is sitting in the hallway outside Aunt Leah and Uncle Howard\u2019s apartment in the Vernon Manor Hotel in Cincinnati.\u00a0\u00a0I was banned from the residence, unless I took my button off. I wouldn\u2019t do it.\u00a0\u00a0Eventually we reached a compromise;\u00a0\u00a0Aunt Leah allowed me in, as long as I carried the lead elephant she presented to me.\u00a0\u00a0That was American politics at its best!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mom was a Kennedy fan, with direct connections to the clan.\u00a0\u00a0Her roommate in college was Kathleen Kennedy, fourth in the line of Joe and Rose Kennedy\u2019s children.\u00a0\u00a0Kathleen tragically died in a plane crash in 1948, but Mom was still loyal to the family. And even though Mom was a British citizen, she remained a strong supporter of JFK\u2019s career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So I was a Kennedy fan, literally from birth.  I\u2019m not so sure Dad was, he might have voted for Nixon back in 1960.  We never had that conversation, though I know he later converted to some Democratic candidates, including Jimmy Carter (after all, I was working for him) and Barack Obama.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Missile Gap<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

But as a college student and budding political operative in the 1970\u2019s, I discovered that there were issues where the Kennedy\u2019s played fast and loose with the facts.\u00a0\u00a0One of those was a major issue in the 1960 campaign, the \u201cmissile gap\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0According to Democrats, the Soviet Union was building more nuclear missiles than the United States, and had created a \u201cgap\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0It seemed to be an actual threat. If the USSR could blow up the US \u201cmore completely\u201d then they might actually \u201cwin\u201d a nuclear war.\u00a0\u00a0That concept was later described by Herman Kahn, an academic, published in a paper called \u201cThinking the Unthinkable<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kennedy promised to close the \u201cgap\u201d when elected, and the US began to build hundreds of new missiles after he took office.  The fallacy: in 1960 there really wasn\u2019t a \u201cgap\u201d at all.  The US actually had more missiles at the time, making the balance of \u201cMutually Assured Destruction\u201d (MAD) especially effective.  Kennedy\u2019s building program upset that balance even more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But Kennedy\u2019s programs poured a lot more money into the burgeoning defense industry. That’s the same \u201cmilitary-industrial complex\u201d that President Eisenhower (also a General of the Army) warned about in his farewell address (*see below), just days before Kennedy\u2019s inauguration (\u201c\u2026ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country\u201d<\/em>).\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0And the American marriage to the Defense industry far out-lasted Kennedy.\u00a0\u00a0The Vietnam War, and Reagan\u2019s strategy to \u201cwin\u201d the Cold War by out-spending the Soviet Union into the ground (it worked) continued the military-industrial complex growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Better than Yours<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s all \u201cancient\u201d history.\u00a0\u00a0The Soviet Union fell over thirty years ago, and was replaced by Putin\u2019s oligarchy in Russia.\u00a0\u00a0They are struggling today to maintain a war against Ukraine. Russia is using up so many munitions that they are dragging tanks from the 1980\u2019s back onto the battlefield, and borrowing troops from North Korea to help replace the hundreds of thousands of Russians lost in battle.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0From time to time Russia puts an innovative weapon on \u201cdisplay\u201d, like their new hypersonic (11x the speed of sound) missile, but most of their weapons are \u201cold school\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Overall, the Russian military complex is the remnants of the Soviet Union. The flagship cruiser\u00a0Moskva<\/em>\u00a0of the Russian Black Sea fleet sunk, and the only Russian aircraft carrier is unable to move without multiple tugs for steerage and towing.\u00a0\u00a0The \u201cFifth Generation\u201d Russian fighter jet, the Sukhoi 57, is ridiculed for radar-reflecting screws in its body, and for fuselage sections that don\u2019t completely fit together.\u00a0\u00a0There are currently 31 in service.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That’s opposed to the US F-35, a more sophisticated fifth generation fighter.  The US has 630 already deployed, with another 400 to US allied nations.  China also has a fifth generation fighter, the Shenyang J35-A, with over 300 deployed. The Chinese also have three conventional aircraft carriers with a fourth nuclear carrier under construction. The United States currently has eleven nuclear carriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Complex<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

There is no weapons gap.  But there is a loyalty to the military-industrial complex, demonstrated in the nomination hearings for Pete Hegseth as Trump\u2019s new Defense Secretary.  There\u2019s lots of personal reasons why Hegseth isn\u2019t appropriate for the post.  And the fact he\u2019s never successfully run even a small organization, much less one the size of the Defense Department, should be a warning.  But, underneath all of the conversation about alcohol, womanizing and abuse, there is an even darker thread.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hegseth claims that we are \u201cfalling behind\u201d in the arms development race. He promises to re-direct funding to make sure we are never \u201csecond place\u201d.  Like Kennedy (who had his own personal issues with women) Hegseth is planning on closing another \u201cweapons gap\u201d.  And, like my original hero, he\u2019s fixing a problem that doesn\u2019t exist.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The winner will continue to be what General Eisenhower warned us about:  the military-industrial complex. They have a huge financial stake in expansion, and get that accomplished by  supporting Republican politicians.  Perhaps that\u2019s why the Hegseth nomination, which seemed almost as sunk as the lost Moskva<\/em>, is now not only afloat, but seems destined for success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eisenhower’s Farewell Address<\/h5>\n\n\n\n

*Excerpt from Eisenhower\u2019s Farewell Address (1\/17\/1961)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A vital element in keeping the peace is our military establishment. Our arms must be mighty, ready for instant action, so that no potential aggressor may be tempted to risk his own destruction. . . . American makers of plowshares could, with time and as required, make swords as well. But now we can no longer risk emergency improvisation of national defense; we have been compelled to create a permanent armaments industry of vast proportions. . . . This conjunction of an immense military establishment and a large arms industry is new in the American experience. . . .Yet we must not fail to comprehend its grave implications. . . . In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists and will persist.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I listened to President Biden’s farewell address last night – an American tradition that runs all the way back to George Washington. Like Washington (avoid foreign entanglements) and Eisenhower (military\/industrial complex) Biden warned us of a new threat – the power of billionaires and their influence on our government. Will we be a Republic, or … Continue reading “The New Arms Gap”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nThe New Arms Gap : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2025\/01\/16\/the-new-arms-gap\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The New Arms Gap : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I listened to President Biden’s farewell address last night – an American tradition that runs all the way back to George Washington. 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