{"id":7204,"date":"2024-07-10T09:09:59","date_gmt":"2024-07-10T13:09:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=7204"},"modified":"2024-07-10T09:10:01","modified_gmt":"2024-07-10T13:10:01","slug":"deciding-with-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2024\/07\/10\/deciding-with-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Deciding with Data"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Non-Objective\u00a0<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Data drives our society. We are computer driven, and it\u2019s impossible to \u201ccrunch\u201d non-objective sources.  If  something can\u2019t be boiled down to numbers, then it can\u2019t be understood.  So everything:  children\u2019s learning, Presidential candidates, calling plays in the National Football League; are forced through the \u201cblack-box\u201d of data collection.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We saw it happen in public schools in the late 1980\u2019s with the beginning of statewide public school testing.\u00a0\u00a0I remember committees of teachers taking days out of the classroom, away from their kids, and working on curriculum to \u201cpass\u201d the tests.\u00a0\u00a0Those scores became the primary source of data on educational progress; honestly, more important than student grades.\u00a0\u00a0Get a \u2018C\u2019 or \u2018D\u2019 in a class, the kid still passed.\u00a0\u00a0Fail the \u201cStudent Achievement Test\u201d, and regardless of grades, the kid might be held back, or at the high school level, not even graduate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And since there was all that \u201cobjective data\u201d, the Achievement test results soon infiltrated into teacher evaluations.  If kids did well on the tests, then the subject teachers were obviously \u201cgood teachers\u201d.  And if they did badly, regardless, then the teacher\u2019s \u201cneed improvement\u201d.   Teachers wanted to keep their jobs, so not surprisingly, they taught kids to do well on the tests.  It was in their best interest, and the kids.  But was it the \u201cbest\u201d way for students to learn; did it prepare them for their future in life work or higher education?  It really didn\u2019t matter; the \u201cdata\u201d was there, regardless of whether that data was a valid measurement of education or not.  And that \u201cdata\u201d drove everything else.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Garbage In<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

It’s still the way public schools work. (Here is Ohio\u2019s \u201cinteractive page\u201d with\u00a0my school district\u2019s \u201creport card\u201d<\/a>).\u00a0\u00a0In most schools, high stakes testing still drives education, even though the ability to pass a test doesn\u2019t necessarily apply to success in future employment.\u00a0\u00a0There are a few courageous school districts that \u201copted out\u201d of the tests, but they took their chances on losing state funding. Because the test results can go on a \u201cspreadsheet\u201d, because it\u2019s easy to see, the \u201cdata\u201d becomes the most important \u201cevidence\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0What really \u201cgood\u201d teachers do, is get the kids through the tests, AND teach them what they need to know for the future.\u00a0\u00a0But it\u2019s a lot, and forces them to teach in ways that aren\u2019t necessarily in the kids \u201creal\u201d best interest.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sabotage<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

We crave for a way to make decisions based on \u201cdata\u201d, rather than experience, or non-objective factors.\u00a0Football coaches use \u201cdata analytics\u201d to decide whether to run or pass, go-for-it on fourth down or punt.\u00a0\u00a0Someone, even during the game, is \u201ccrunching numbers\u201d in the stadium.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019m not a \u201cLuddite\u201d. (Named for the bands of workers who broke the machinery that was taking their jobs in the early 1800s.\u00a0\u00a0Some workers in France threw their wooden shoes into the machines.\u00a0\u00a0The shoes were called \u201csabots\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0Thus came the modern word, \u201csabotage\u201d.<\/em>)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And I\u2019m sure that NFL coaches use any way they can to get one-up on their competitors.\u00a0\u00a0But it\u2019s important that the \u201cdata\u201d that goes into the crunching is valid.\u00a0\u00a0Back in 1974,\u00a0\u00a0I was taking computer programming, tapping out programs on green screens in \u201cBasic\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0We had an expression:\u00a0\u00a0GIGO.\u00a0\u00a0It meant that if your program was garbage, all you would get was garbage results \u2013 Garbage In, Garbage Out.\u00a0\u00a0So if the data isn\u2019t valid, or really doesn\u2019t measure what it\u2019s supposed to measure, then it\u2019s GIGO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Garbage Out<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

So let\u2019s look at a modern \u201cpolling\u201d question, asked quite frequently to provide the \u201cdata\u201d to drive who should be the Presidential candidate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOn a scale of strongly agree to strongly disagree, respond to the following question – <\/em>Joe Biden is just too old to be an effective President.\u201d (NYT<\/a>).<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joe Biden is eighty-one years old.\u00a0\u00a0He has all sorts of physical problems that old men have, including spinal arthritis, acid reflux, A-Fib, peripheral neuropathy, and seasonal allergies (WH<\/a>).\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0He looks, walks, and talks like an old man.\u00a0\u00a0Certainly all of those issues impact his ability to be President. But does that mean he is or isn\u2019t \u201ceffective\u201d?\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s a totally different question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If I were taking that survey, I would \u201cmildly agree\u201d with the question.\u00a0\u00a0But the answer to that question doesn\u2019t \u201cdrive\u201d my answer to the decision all Americans have to make:\u00a0\u00a0Trump v Biden.\u00a0\u00a0Yes, Joe\u2019s old, and he\u2019s for sure going to get older.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0But it\u2019s Biden versus Trump, and I\u2019ll take Biden every time, even if he\u2019s \u201ctoo old\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0 There\u2019s no other practical choice\u00a0to stop Donald Trump; only a couple of years younger, and already exhibiting his own symptoms of old age.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Who\u2019s Talking<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

And there\u2019s a lot of other questions about the \u201cpolling\u201d that\u2019s driving the argument to \u201cdrop Biden from the ticket\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0As Biden himself reiterates, the polling has been wrong, over and over again.\u00a0\u00a0In the past the polls under-estimated Trump support.\u00a0\u00a0But they also under-estimated strength of pro-choice voters. And since polling is not just counting numbers, but\u00a0\u00a0\u201ccrunching\u201d\u00a0\u00a0them through a model of what the pollster \u201cthinks\u201d the electorate looks like, it\u2019s easy to miss \u201ccloset\u201d Biden or Trump voters.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In today\u2019s highly polarized society, where even a casual overheard conversation or a bumper sticker can result in confrontation, how many people are willing to \u201ctell where they stand\u201d to the pollsters coming up on their cell-phones?\u00a0\u00a0 How many are keeping their views on the \u201cdown-low\u201d, ignoring the repeated text, email or phone messages to \u201cparticipate in a poll\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sure polling data is \u201call we\u2019ve got\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0But garbage-in, garbage-out is still true.\u00a0\u00a0Just because we have \u201cdata\u201d, doesn\u2019t mean it\u2019s accurate or meaningful, and doesn\u2019t mean we should make decisions based on it.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This decision is too important. It has to be right.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Non-Objective\u00a0 Data drives our society. We are computer driven, and it\u2019s impossible to \u201ccrunch\u201d non-objective sources.  If  something can\u2019t be boiled down to numbers, then it can\u2019t be understood.  So everything:  children\u2019s learning, Presidential candidates, calling plays in the National Football League; are forced through the \u201cblack-box\u201d of data collection. We saw it happen in public schools in the … Continue reading “Deciding with Data”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nDeciding with Data : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2024\/07\/10\/deciding-with-data\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Deciding with Data : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Non-Objective\u00a0 Data drives our society. 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