{"id":6991,"date":"2024-03-06T09:05:14","date_gmt":"2024-03-06T14:05:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=6991"},"modified":"2024-03-06T09:05:16","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T14:05:16","slug":"the-clubs-choose","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2024\/03\/06\/the-clubs-choose\/","title":{"rendered":"The Clubs Choose"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Rant<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Here\u2019s a short rant.&nbsp;&nbsp;I\u2019m tired of hearing \u201cpundits\u201d talk about how uneducated Americans are when it comes to government and politics.&nbsp;&nbsp;I can tell you, for sure, that every kid who went to high school in the United States got a \u201cgovernment\u201d or \u201ccivics\u201d course, along with American History.&nbsp;&nbsp;Every American public school kid was \u201cexposed\u201d to the structure of our government, the process of our elections, and even the function of political parties.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Did they get it?&nbsp;&nbsp;Do they remember it fifteen years later? That, I can\u2019t tell you.&nbsp;&nbsp;But the line I hear over and over again on the media is; \u201cWell, we don\u2019t teach civics anymore, so folks don\u2019t know\u2026\u201d&nbsp;&nbsp;To use the succinct but eloquent phrase of the&nbsp;&nbsp;Marjorie Stoneman Douglas kids, \u201cI call BS\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;Americans knew, and remember again when they need to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Whew; got that off my chest.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Parties<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">One of the harder concepts to teach in Government class is the four-part American Presidential election system.&nbsp;&nbsp;It\u2019s not just \u201can election\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;It\u2019s a series of elections, caucuses, conventions, all leading to the major political parties choosing a candidate at their \u201cbig\u201d convention.&nbsp;&nbsp;Then it\u2019s another election, but that election isn\u2019t a simple \u201cwinner and loser\u201d election.&nbsp;&nbsp;It\u2019s an election to choose \u201celectors\u201d to the Electoral College (that doesn\u2019t even have a football team).&nbsp;&nbsp;And, as January 6<sup>th<\/sup>, 2021 made it extremely clear, even winning the most electors isn\u2019t really a guarantee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">But to get back to the primary process, it\u2019s a difficult concept for students to get.&nbsp;&nbsp;So it\u2019s an election when everyone can vote, but they can only vote for the candidates in the party they choose to belong to.&nbsp;&nbsp;And, if you\u2019re not in a party, you can\u2019t vote for those candidates.&nbsp;&nbsp;But, in many states (like Ohio) you can switch parties by just asking for the other party\u2019s ballot.&nbsp;&nbsp;So it sounds complicated, really more complicated than it actually is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Join the Club<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">So I would explain it like this:&nbsp;&nbsp;the political parties are just clubs; clubs with a goal of running people for office.&nbsp;&nbsp;The primaries are the \u201cclubs\u201d voting for which candidate will represent their club against the other club.&nbsp;&nbsp;And only the \u201cclub\u201d members can vote, that makes sense.&nbsp;&nbsp;People who aren\u2019t in the \u201cclub\u201d shouldn\u2019t have a say in who the \u201cclub\u201d chooses.&nbsp;&nbsp;So last night, \u201cSuper Tuesday\u201d, was a whole bunch of state \u201cclubs\u201d choosing the candidate to represent their&nbsp;&nbsp;state at the National club convention come July (Republican) or August (Democrat).&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Today, about 39% of voters are in the Democratic Club, and 29% are in the Republican Club (<a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/Partisan_affiliations_of_registered_voters\">Ballotpedia<\/a>).&nbsp;&nbsp;That leaves 32% of American voters who are left out of the \u201cclub\u201d selection process.&nbsp;&nbsp;Since they aren\u2019t members (however their state sets that up), they don\u2019t get to choose.&nbsp;&nbsp;And there\u2019s one other point that\u2019s important.&nbsp;&nbsp;The \u201cclubs\u201d do the same things, and have similar elections \u2013 but they\u2019re not the same size.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Horse Race<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Last night\u2019s media coverage was naturally slanted towards the Republican \u201cclub\u201d elections.&nbsp;&nbsp;Of course it was.&nbsp;&nbsp;The Republicans had a \u201ccontest\u201d, Trump versus Haley.&nbsp;&nbsp;And the Republicans had a question (answered now), who would their club choose.&nbsp;&nbsp;That\u2019s opposed to the other \u201cclub\u201d, who had the incumbent President.&nbsp;&nbsp;Biden was running essentially unopposed (sorry to point that out, obscure Congressman from Minnesota Mr. What\u2019s-Your-Name??)&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The media, and the public, want a competition, a \u201chorse race\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;There wasn\u2019t really a horse race in the 2024 campaign on either side, but Nikki Haley tried to make one.&nbsp;&nbsp;Last night we watched the Haley effort breakdown on the backstretch.&nbsp;&nbsp;To push the horse race analogy to the limit:&nbsp;&nbsp;their putting the tent up around the \u201cHaley horse\u201d on the backstretch right now.&nbsp;&nbsp;They don\u2019t shoot broken race horses anymore, they \u201ceuthanize\u201d them quietly, on the track, under the tent, out of the view of the public.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Haley\u2019s candidacy ended last night, it will be put out of its misery today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">My Club\u2019s Bigger than Theirs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">But keep in mind, the Republican \u201cClub\u201d is significantly smaller than the Democratic \u201cClub\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;What looks like an \u201ceven\u201d horse race, isn\u2019t, from the start.&nbsp;&nbsp;If every Republican comes out and votes for Trump, it\u2019s 29% of the vote.&nbsp;&nbsp;If every Democrat votes for Biden, it\u2019s 39%.&nbsp;&nbsp;Trump needs to get the lion\u2019s share of the \u201cno-club\u201d vote to get elected, almost two-thirds. Biden doesn\u2019t need quite as many \u201cno-clubs\u201d,&nbsp;&nbsp;about one-third.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">The Presidential primary season ended last night \u2013 even though there will be more \u201cclub votes\u201d on into June.&nbsp;&nbsp;And there are important things happening in those primaries.&nbsp;&nbsp;New Jersey, for example, will be choosing \u201cclub\u201d candidates for the US Senate on the first Tuesday in June.&nbsp;&nbsp;Six Democrats are lining up to try to follow Bob Menendez, the current Democratic Senator under multiple criminal indictments.&nbsp;&nbsp;The two front runners, Congressman Andy Kim and the Governor\u2019s wife, Tammy Murphy, are having a good \u201chorse race\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;But as far as Trump and Biden are concerned, the \u201cfight\u201d for the convention is over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Like it or not, as Julius Caesar would say, \u201cAlea iacta Est\u201d, \u201cthe die is cast\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;It\u2019s the rematch of 2020, Biden v Trump, two old men vying for a job they\u2019ve both done.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Trump has to overcome his smaller \u201cclub\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;Biden has to motivate his \u201cclub\u201d to show up in November.&nbsp;&nbsp;And both have to find ways to sway the \u201cnon-clubbers\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;Watch Biden start that motivation and persuasion tomorrow night.&nbsp;&nbsp;It\u2019s time for another one of those \u201cCivics Class\u201d moments \u2013 The State of the Union Address.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"\">Get your popcorn ready!!!!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Rant Here\u2019s a short rant.&nbsp;&nbsp;I\u2019m tired of hearing \u201cpundits\u201d talk about how uneducated Americans are when it comes to government and politics.&nbsp;&nbsp;I can tell you, for sure, that every kid who went to high school in the United States got a \u201cgovernment\u201d or \u201ccivics\u201d course, along with American History.&nbsp;&nbsp;Every American public school kid was &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2024\/03\/06\/the-clubs-choose\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The Clubs Choose&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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