{"id":657,"date":"2018-01-23T15:09:06","date_gmt":"2018-01-23T15:09:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=657"},"modified":"2018-01-23T15:09:06","modified_gmt":"2018-01-23T15:09:06","slug":"where-go-the-dreamers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2018\/01\/23\/where-go-the-dreamers\/","title":{"rendered":"Where Go the Dreamers?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Where Go the Dreamers?<\/p>\n

Tuesday morning the US Government reopens. The ugly standoff of the weekend is over: both sides claim some form of victory. But the absolute losers are the most innocent, the 800,000 \u201cDreamers.\u201d<\/p>\n

The \u201cdeal\u201d that reopened the government was little different than the deal on the table before the shutdown. The budget was kicked down the road, until February 8th<\/sup>, when the whole drama will begin again. Off the table is the Childhood Insurance (CHIP) program, now re-authorized for six years. And hidden in the deal were more tax cuts, this time delays to three taxes needed to fund some parts of the Affordable Care Act.<\/p>\n

So what did Democrats get for the \u201cDreamers,\u201d the ultimate reason for the shutdown in the first place? An agreement with Republican Leader Mitch McConnell that he \u201cintends\u201d to bring DACA \u00a0legislation to the Senate floor for debate and vote. There is NO agreement on a DACA solution in the Senate, NO agreement on House of Representative participation at all, and NO word from the White House on their stand. The Democratic minority played a weak hand; they got a weak deal.<\/p>\n

What happens next? There is still a real majority of the Senate and the House of Representatives that want DACA legislation that would grant some form of permanent legal status to the Dreamers, and ultimately US citizenship. The Dreamers do have some political capital, particularly in those Districts that have a significant number of Latino voters. \u00a0Members running for re-election ignore that significance at their peril.<\/p>\n

It is likely that in the next budget snafu, due on Thursday, February 8th<\/sup>, the Senate will put some form of DACA plan forward. And while there is a bipartisan proposal in the House by Congressmen Hurd (R, Texas) and Aguilar (D, California)[1]<\/a>, there is still the dark force of the Freedom Caucus against it, and the strangely silent position of Speaker Paul Ryan.<\/p>\n

The outlines of the battle are vague. \u00a0The Senate may pass a \u00a0DACA \u00a0bill as part of the next budget resolution with additions for border security (Trump might call that a \u201cwall\u201d.) Democrats cannot let it get conflated with other immigration changes, that would doom the bill from the start. \u00a0Then it will fall to the House. Speaker Ryan will not have a \u201cmajority of the majority\u201d in favor of such a bill, but he would have a majority of the House (all of the Democrats and many Republicans.)<\/p>\n

In order for Ryan to violate the \u201cHastert Rule\u201d \u00a0requiring him to have a majority of Republicans in favor, he would need to have political cover. That cover is the President of the United States, who could signal that HE wants that bill passed. Ryan would then be doing the President\u2019s bidding, and could lead the House forward.<\/p>\n

Which then brings us to the ultimate question: what is the White House stand? Is it the deal that Trump signaled at least three times (the bill of \u201clove\u201d meeting, the Schumer meetings, and most recently with Joe Manchin)? Or is it the hardline approach of Chief of Staff Kelly, or worse, the near-racist views of Advisor Stephen Miller?<\/p>\n

Democrats are faced with a perilous choice. If the President doesn\u2019t signal a stand, then Senate Democrats can\u2019t count on the House. If they can\u2019t count on the House, then they are forced to either close the government once again, or completely fail. And while politically they could fall back on waiting for the next election, it will be too late for Dreamers. The protections they now have expire on March 5th<\/sup>.<\/p>\n

The Administration has pursued a policy of relentless deportation of \u201ccriminal\u201d immigrants. The conceit is they are deporting \u201ccriminals,\u201d leaving the impression that dangerous felons are being removed. The fact: they have defined all illegals as criminals, so all of them are at risk.<\/p>\n

Dreamers have registered with the Federal Government in order to gain protections. Now that registration process could be turned against them \u2013 the Government knows where they live. They, and Democrats, are dependent on the \u201cmercy\u201d of President Trump. Good luck with that.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

[1]<\/a> https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2018\/01\/08\/politics\/bipartisan-daca-compromise-plan-unveiled\/index.html<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Where Go the Dreamers? Tuesday morning the US Government reopens. The ugly standoff of the weekend is over: both sides claim some form of victory. But the absolute losers are the most innocent, the 800,000 \u201cDreamers.\u201d The \u201cdeal\u201d that reopened the government was little different than the deal on the table before the shutdown. The … Continue reading “Where Go the Dreamers?”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nWhere Go the Dreamers? : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2018\/01\/23\/where-go-the-dreamers\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Where Go the Dreamers? : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Where Go the Dreamers? Tuesday morning the US Government reopens. The ugly standoff of the weekend is over: both sides claim some form of victory. But the absolute losers are the most innocent, the 800,000 \u201cDreamers.\u201d The \u201cdeal\u201d that reopened the government was little different than the deal on the table before the shutdown. 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