{"id":6270,"date":"2023-04-09T11:06:30","date_gmt":"2023-04-09T15:06:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=6270"},"modified":"2023-07-13T11:24:55","modified_gmt":"2023-07-13T15:24:55","slug":"apocalypse-not","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/","title":{"rendered":"Apocalypse Not"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Values<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A friend of mine brought a recent Wall Street Journal (NORC) poll to my attention (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/americans-pull-back-from-values-that-once-defined-u-s-wsj-norc-poll-finds-df8534cd\">WSJ \u2013 paywall<\/a>).\u00a0\u00a0The headline reads:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<strong>America Pulls Back from Values that Once Defined It, WSJ-NORC Poll Finds<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>Patriotism, religion, and hard work hold less importance<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The polling contrasts results over the past twenty-five years to how important Americans find the following:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>Patriotism<\/strong> &#8211; down 32%\u00a0(1998 70%,\u00a0<em>2019 60%,<\/em>\u00a02023\u00a0\u00a038%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>Religion<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0&#8211; down 23%\u00a0(1998 \u2013 62%, 2023 \u2013 39%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>having children <\/strong>\u2013 down 20%\u00a0(1998 \u2013 50%, 2023 30%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>community involvement<\/strong> \u2013 down 35% since 2019\u00a0(1998 46%,\u00a0<em>2019, 61%,<\/em>\u00a02023 24%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>tolerance for others down<\/strong>  -22%\u00a0(1998 80%, 2023 58%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>Hard Work<\/strong> \u2013 down 13%\u00a0(1998 75%, 2023 62%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"has-small-font-size\"><strong>money <\/strong>\u2013 up 10%\u00a0(1998 31%, 2023 43%).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\"><em>Note \u2013 2019 results included when it marked a significant change in the polling track.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers seem almost \u201capocalyptic\u201d for American civilization.&nbsp;&nbsp;The \u201ctop line\u201d: values that make America into America are drifting away.&nbsp;&nbsp;We are becoming (or maybe already are) a nation of narcissists; valuing family, religion, community, and country less; and unwilling to work hard for a living.&nbsp;&nbsp;In fact, the only thing we seem to value more is money.&nbsp;&nbsp;It is a statistical argument to show that the \u201cidyllic\u201d America of the past is gone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But let\u2019s analyze some alternatives to this \u201cend of America as we know it\u201d.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Polling&nbsp;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>First of all, we need to recognize that polling in and of itself is dramatically different.&nbsp;&nbsp;In 1998, polling consisted of human beings calling other human beings in their homes on land lines.&nbsp;&nbsp;In 2023 (and 2019) polling is \u201crobo\u201d polling, trying to reach folks on cell phones where the answerer is unlikely to pick up a number they don\u2019t recognize.&nbsp;&nbsp;Polling in 1998 was a direct interaction, but polling today tends to only reach those most motivated to be polled.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So pollsters cannot depend simply on \u201clarge numbers\u201d to reach an accurate conclusion in their polling data.&nbsp;Instead, they create a \u201cmodel\u201d of the population they are polling, then call until they reach enough folks that match the factors in the model they are looking for.&nbsp;&nbsp;So if the \u201cmodel\u201d is inaccurate, so are the results.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We know this is true, because here in 2023 we are well aware that polls can be surprisingly wrong.&nbsp;&nbsp;We\u2019ve seen it in election after election, really since 2012, when polling seemed \u201ccertain\u201d but the election outcomes were very different.&nbsp;&nbsp;And we know that there are partisan polling organizations (not NORC) that intentionally skew polls for their own political purposes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not only has it made Americans very wary of polls, but it also shakes American\u2019s confidence in our electoral process.&nbsp;&nbsp;Since polling results and election results are often so different, it raises the specter of some failure on one side or the other.&nbsp;&nbsp;That specter is inflamed by politicians claiming election fraud.&nbsp;&nbsp;Is it the polls, or the ballots?&nbsp;&nbsp;Americans in 2023 are uncertain.&nbsp;&nbsp;That\u2019s two American institutions we don\u2019t trust.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Patriotism<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the poll, patriotism declined, slowly by 10% over twenty years, then dramatically 22% in the past four years.&nbsp;&nbsp;Accepting those numbers, there are two huge factors in this decline:&nbsp;&nbsp;\u201cMAGA-ism\u201d and Covid.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Covid put Americans in a difficult \u201cpatriotic\u201d bind.&nbsp;&nbsp;Was it \u201cpatriotic\u201d to isolate, wear masks, and get vaccinations; all to protect your family, community and Nation?&nbsp;&nbsp;Or was it \u201cpatriotic\u201d to demand the \u201cfreedom\u201d to gather, go maskless, and ignore vaccinations?&nbsp;&nbsp;Both sides claim to be representing the \u201cbest\u201d of America.&nbsp;&nbsp;But only one side claimed the trappings of patriotism, flags and Constitutional language (you can\u2019t take my RIGHTS!).&nbsp;&nbsp;The other side based its argument on science and humanity, not necessarily protecting themselves and others for \u201cGod and Country\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cMAGA-ism\u201d created much the same patriotic dilemma.\u00a0\u00a0The MAGA figurehead, Donald Trump, literally wrapped himself in the flag, \u201c\u2026Proud to be an American\u2026\u201d,  and told Americans that they were losing their nation, their religions (white Christianity), their jobs and their future.\u00a0\u00a0Flying the Star Spangled Banner in front of your house largely became symbolic for a particular political view (though it still flies proudly from my front porch).\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So this dramatic drop in \u201cpatriotism\u201d in the past three years might have more to do with the working definition of current patriotism, than actual love and willingness to sacrifice for country.&nbsp;&nbsp;Patriotism to many seems synonymous with extreme nationalism, so those who don\u2019t agree with that would not define themselves as patriotic.&nbsp;&nbsp;On the other hand, I would argue that acts of American patriotism include the Black Lives Matter marches of 2020, the fierce stand of the two young legislators in Tennessee last week, and the huge increase in women and young people turning out to vote.&nbsp;&nbsp;They just don\u2019t describe themselves as \u201cpatriots\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Institutions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Many Americans lost trust in  our \u201cinstitutions\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s not just restricted to government institutions like the FBI or the Boards of elections.\u00a0\u00a0Public schools are under increasing fire, as are local governments, and police departments all over the country.\u00a0\u00a0Our current political climate undermines institutional trust from both sides.\u00a0\u00a0In addition, we have discovered betrayal from \u201ctrusted\u201d institutions from major churches to Little League Baseball to the Boy Scouts.\u00a0\u00a0Not only were children molested, but those institutions played a large role in protecting the molesters.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So it should be little wonder that Americans are losing \u201cfaith\u201d in institutions, and particularly organized religion.&nbsp;&nbsp;Those institutions often are involved in the fraught political issues of our time, right or wrong.&nbsp;&nbsp;When church members found themselves in political conflict with their own \u201creligion\u201d, many walked away.&nbsp;&nbsp;So, like the question of patriotism, the question of religion might well be more a matter of definition.&nbsp;&nbsp;Is religion a \u201cgoing to church\u201d thing, or is religion a question of faith?&nbsp;&nbsp;The NORC poll doesn\u2019t make that distinction.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Community<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The \u201chidden number\u201d in the poll is involvement in community.\u00a0\u00a0That increased 15% from 1998 to 2019, then crashed 37% in the past four years.\u00a0\u00a0The obvious answer to that is Covid.\u00a0\u00a0Americans stopped being involved in their community for over a year of shutdowns in the pandemic.\u00a0\u00a0In that time, we \u201clost\u201d the habit, not just of community involvement, but of many other kinds of social interaction.\u00a0\u00a0 Even movie theatres haven\u2019t recovered from the pandemic.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Folks changed their lifestyles in \u201clockdown\u201d, and not just in their views of their community.\u00a0\u00a0They also became less tolerant of others as they sat in the social media-fed isolation, and found less motivation to \u201cwork hard\u201d at their computer screens, or were put at risk as \u201cessential workers\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0Lockdown isolation certainly encouraged narcissism (the importance of \u201cmoney\u201d versus \u201chard work\u201d).\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s not the whole reason for that polling, but it\u2019s a significant factor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Apples and Oranges<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>America is a very different place then it was in 1998.&nbsp;&nbsp;That was before the Clinton Impeachment, before the attack on 9-11, and before the election of the first African-American President.&nbsp;&nbsp;America fought a war in Iraq based on a false accusation, and the longest war in American history in Afghanistan.&nbsp;&nbsp;Oh, and then there was that thing called the internet and social media.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The definitions that made \u201csense\u201d in 1998; patriotism, religion, family and work aren\u2019t the same as many have today.&nbsp;&nbsp;So to make comparisons based on those \u201cwords\u201d may well be comparing apples and oranges, rather than potatoes and potatoes.&nbsp;&nbsp;In spite of the flaws in polling in 2023, even if the results are accurate, the pollsters may not be asking the right questions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With all of that, I think the\u201cdemise\u201d of America is highly exaggerated.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Values A friend of mine brought a recent Wall Street Journal (NORC) poll to my attention (WSJ \u2013 paywall).\u00a0\u00a0The headline reads: \u00a0America Pulls Back from Values that Once Defined It, WSJ-NORC Poll Finds \u00a0Patriotism, religion, and hard work hold less importance. The polling contrasts results over the past twenty-five years to how important Americans find &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Apocalypse Not&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6270","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Apocalypse Not : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Apocalypse Not : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Values A friend of mine brought a recent Wall Street Journal (NORC) poll to my attention (WSJ \u2013 paywall).\u00a0\u00a0The headline reads: \u00a0America Pulls Back from Values that Once Defined It, WSJ-NORC Poll Finds \u00a0Patriotism, religion, and hard work hold less importance. 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The polling contrasts results over the past twenty-five years to how important Americans find &hellip; Continue reading \"Apocalypse Not\"","og_url":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/","og_site_name":"Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life","article_publisher":"https:\/\/m.facebook.com\/Dahlmanonline-610417212502642\/","article_author":"https:\/\/m.facebook.com\/Dahlmanonline-610417212502642\/","article_published_time":"2023-04-09T15:06:30+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-07-13T15:24:55+00:00","og_image":[{"width":480,"height":640,"url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/IMG_3564-e1488996194684.jpg?fit=480%2C640&ssl=1","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Marty Dahlman","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@martydahlman","twitter_site":"@martydahlman","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Marty Dahlman","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/"},"author":{"name":"Marty Dahlman","@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/#\/schema\/person\/5fa8c1b0305cf5f1f3633225843e621c"},"headline":"Apocalypse Not","datePublished":"2023-04-09T15:06:30+00:00","dateModified":"2023-07-13T15:24:55+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/"},"wordCount":1297,"commentCount":1,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/#\/schema\/person\/5fa8c1b0305cf5f1f3633225843e621c"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/","url":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/","name":"Apocalypse Not : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/#website"},"datePublished":"2023-04-09T15:06:30+00:00","dateModified":"2023-07-13T15:24:55+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2023\/04\/09\/apocalypse-not\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Apocalypse Not"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/#website","url":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/","name":"Trump World - Essays on Politics and the Trump Administration","description":"Essays on Politics and Life in Our America","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/#\/schema\/person\/5fa8c1b0305cf5f1f3633225843e621c"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":["Person","Organization"],"@id":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/#\/schema\/person\/5fa8c1b0305cf5f1f3633225843e621c","name":"Marty Dahlman","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/IMG_3564-e1488996194684.jpg?fit=480%2C640&ssl=1","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/IMG_3564-e1488996194684.jpg?fit=480%2C640&ssl=1","contentUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/IMG_3564-e1488996194684.jpg?fit=480%2C640&ssl=1","width":480,"height":640,"caption":"Marty Dahlman"},"logo":{"@id":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/dahlman.online\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/IMG_3564-e1488996194684.jpg?fit=480%2C640&ssl=1"},"description":"I'm Marty Dahlman. After forty years of teaching and coaching track and cross country, I've finally retired!!! 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