{"id":4264,"date":"2021-05-18T10:13:58","date_gmt":"2021-05-18T14:13:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=4264"},"modified":"2021-05-18T10:14:05","modified_gmt":"2021-05-18T14:14:05","slug":"foreseeable-consequences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2021\/05\/18\/foreseeable-consequences\/","title":{"rendered":"Foreseeable Consequences"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>\u201cWhen you ain&#8217;t got nothing, you got nothing to lose\u201d<\/em><em>&nbsp;<\/em><em>&nbsp;&#8211; Bob Dylan,&nbsp;<\/em><em>(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=cu4YzePmYco\">Like a Rolling Stone<\/a>)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Live Today<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><em>NBC\u2019s&nbsp;<\/em>Richard Engle reports from the middle of a Palestinian demonstration on the West Bank.&nbsp;&nbsp;A Hama\u2019s missile, fired from Gaza, strikes and kills Israeli civilians.&nbsp;&nbsp;The current death toll in Palestinian Gaza, the most tightly packed population center in the world, is almost 200.&nbsp;&nbsp;And the United States and the world seems helpless to stop it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Divisions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We are.\u00a0\u00a0The situation in the Middle East is incredibly complex.\u00a0\u00a0The Palestinians themselves are divided, with the West Bank controlled by the Palestinian Authority, the technical \u201cgovernment\u201d of Palestine, and Gaza run by Hamas, an acknowledged terrorist organization, funded by the Iranians.\u00a0\u00a0And while the Palestinian Authority and Hamas are bitter rivals for power, their differences pale beside their grievances with the Israeli government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the Israeli government is itself in \u201cflux\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;After four national elections in two years the situation has not changed.&nbsp;&nbsp;Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains barely in control, more because his opposition cannot coalesce around a single rival than support for his own Likud Party.&nbsp;&nbsp;But Netanyahu is also under criminal indictment, and remains Prime Minister only as a caretaker until \u2013 well \u2013 something changes.&nbsp;&nbsp;After vote after vote, it hasn\u2019t.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">US Ignorance<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>And the prime \u201cpeace-maker\u201d in the Middle East, the United States, has pursued a four year policy of ignoring and even antagonizing the Palestinians.&nbsp;&nbsp;The Trump Administration moved the symbolic United States embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, a move designed to improve Trump\u2019s domestic political situation, but guaranteed to produce Palestinian outrage.&nbsp;&nbsp;As the ceremonies for the \u201cnew\u201d embassy were being held, Palestinians were being shot and killed across the Gaza border.&nbsp;&nbsp;The Palestinians were in Gaza and the Israelis were in Israel, shooting.&nbsp;&nbsp;And the United States said nothing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019s son-in-law Jared Kushner negotiated the \u201cAbrahamic Accords\u201d, normalizing relations between Israel and the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.&nbsp;&nbsp;It was heralded as a \u201cgreat step forward in Middle East peace\u201d, and placed some financial supporters of the Palestinian Authority in a \u201cpeaceful\u201d position with Israel.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;But those negotiations served to further isolate the Palestinians, and empowered Hamas, who continued to get support from Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Expansion<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>And the Israelis continue to expand settlement in the occupied territories, East Jerusalem and the West Bank.\u00a0\u00a0Part of that is about the traditional historic\/religious position of Israel.\u00a0\u00a0Part is practical:\u00a0\u00a0if the population of the occupied territories is increasingly Israeli, then any future \u201cpopular sovereignty\u201d peace solution will be in their favor.\u00a0\u00a0And part of the expansion is for Israeli domestic political consumption.\u00a0\u00a0The hard religious and \u201cright wing\u201d Israeli political parties see East Jerusalem and the West Bank as part of \u201cGreater Israel\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0To gain their political support in the parliament, Netanyahu has to support expansion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It also helps with the all-important Evangelical Christian support in the United States.\u00a0\u00a0They see Israel as fulfilling Biblical prophecy, and many vote accordingly in US elections.\u00a0\u00a0Meanwhile the US Democratic Party is faced with increased divisions, with the \u201cleft wing\u201d of the Party concerned more about Palestinian rights than Israeli protection.\u00a0\u00a0It didn\u2019t help that Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu allied themselves personally as well as politically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nothing to Lose<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s hard to see what Hamas has to lose by firing missiles into Israel.\u00a0\u00a0Ninety percent of them are blocked by the US supplied \u201cIron Dome\u201d defense system.\u00a0\u00a0But if hundreds are fired, then tens will get\u00a0\u00a0through, do damage and kill civilians.\u00a0\u00a0Israel will respond with overwhelming force.\u00a0\u00a0And when they do, they will kill hundreds more Palestinians than Israelis killed, more martyrs for the cause.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And for Hamas, that\u2019s a win.\u00a0\u00a0In the eyes of the world, Israel becomes the bully, the murderer of children.\u00a0\u00a0The world heard the words of the ten year old Palestinian child, fluent in English (learned from YouTube).\u00a0\u00a0She eloquently demanded that the Israelis explain why they are killing civilians, children, the elderly.\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s powerful stuff (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=CTLng48Uu00\">Video<\/a>), so moving that it makes you wonder.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Real or not, it echoes the movie \u201cWag the Dog\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hamas is a terrorist organization.&nbsp;&nbsp;But there is no room in Gaza for \u201cmilitary\u201d installations placed carefully apart from civilians.&nbsp;&nbsp;Gaza has over two million people packed into 147 square miles (the city of Columbus, Ohio has 225 square miles with only 800,000).&nbsp;&nbsp;So the underground fortifications, the tunnels, are dug underneath civilian housing.&nbsp;&nbsp;To hit military targets, Israel has little choice but to target civilians \u2013 they\u2019re in the same place.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hamas may lose civilians and infrastructure, but they and their Iranian backers are the real winners of this conflict.&nbsp;&nbsp;The Israelis look terrible to the world, and the United States looks helpless.&nbsp;&nbsp;That all plays into the Iranian hands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If, after all of that, you think I have a solution to the Middle East crisis \u2013 well I wish I did.&nbsp;&nbsp;What I do know is that there will never be peace in the Middle East unless the issue of the Palestinians is resolved.&nbsp;&nbsp;Four years of US neglect did nothing but make that issue worse, and we are reaping the whirlwind now.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWhen you ain&#8217;t got nothing, you got nothing to lose\u201d&nbsp;&nbsp;&#8211; Bob Dylan,&nbsp;(Like a Rolling Stone) Live Today NBC\u2019s&nbsp;Richard Engle reports from the middle of a Palestinian demonstration on the West Bank.&nbsp;&nbsp;A Hama\u2019s missile, fired from Gaza, strikes and kills Israeli civilians.&nbsp;&nbsp;The current death toll in Palestinian Gaza, the most tightly packed population center in the &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2021\/05\/18\/foreseeable-consequences\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Foreseeable Consequences&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - 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