{"id":3139,"date":"2020-08-13T14:09:53","date_gmt":"2020-08-13T18:09:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=3139"},"modified":"2020-08-14T08:20:51","modified_gmt":"2020-08-14T12:20:51","slug":"what-planet-is-wall-street-on","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2020\/08\/13\/what-planet-is-wall-street-on\/","title":{"rendered":"What Planet is Wall Street On?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

In the Market<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

We have a little investment account, setup with the Schwab Company. It\u2019s been there for years though there\u2019s not a ton of money in it. But it serves as an ultimate backstop if we would need finance. I\u2019ve learned not to dwell on it. The stocks go up, the stocks go down; if you leave it alone in the end they trend to the good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But with all of the tough economic news in the past few months, I\u2019ve worried about where our investment has gone. Did the COVID crisis economy impact on our little nest egg? But, at least as of today, the answer is no: our shares are valued within a few hundred dollars of what they were in February, before COVID, and the crash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Personally that\u2019s nice to know, especially for two retired folks who also have pensions vested partly in the market.\u00a0\u00a0But it raises a whole different issue:\u00a0\u00a0what planet is Wall Street on?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By the Numbers<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

We are in the midst of a global pandemic.\u00a0\u00a0Unemployment shot from three percent to fifteen percent, and now has eased back towards ten percent (BLI<\/a>).\u00a0\u00a0That means that one in ten people who need a job can\u2019t get one.\u00a0\u00a0But in mid-July, 51 million Americans were drawing unemployment (Forbes<\/a>).\u00a0\u00a0That\u2019s a confusing number.\u00a0\u00a0Last year the\u00a0Pew Research Institute<\/a>\u00a0estimated 157 million Americans were employed, so if fifty-one million are drawing unemployment, that means that now almost a third don’t have jobs.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No matter how you manipulate the numbers, either a whole lot more people are unemployed than the ten percent listed, or there\u2019s a lot of the 51 million drawing unemployment who aren\u2019t counted. (That\u2019s true, by the way, because they aren\u2019t looking for work. And before someone starts the nonsense elitist conspiracy theory about the lazy American worker, remember most of those on unemployment are waiting to get back on with their regular jobs, closed by the pandemic).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

51 million is almost a third of the workforce.  So keep that in mind.  And among industrialized nations, the United States is demonstrably one of the worst in the world in handling the COVID pandemic.  We are on a scale with Russia, and Brazil, and maybe India and Bangladesh (Guardian<\/a>).  We, the United States, have screwed this up. Many thousands have died as a result.  Even with all of our political blinders on, it\u2019s difficult to argue that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Wall Street \u201cForce\u201d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

But to paraphrase Star Wars\u2019 Yoda, \u201c\u2026the blinders are strong on Wall Street\u201d!\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s a narrow tunnel of vision that lets them accept one of the highest death rates in the world, in order to keep on making money.\u00a0\u00a0But if you can think about it in their way, it makes sense.\u00a0\u00a0As long as Americans are working, and much of the workforce either doesn’t get sick or recovers, than the engine of the American economy keeps running.\u00a0\u00a0And while the markets for products are subdued from COVID, many are still going strong.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s mostly the old and those with pre-conditions that are dying, and most of them weren\u2019t in the workforce to start with.\u00a0\u00a0If that sounds incredibly cold blooded \u2013 it is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Mom and Pop running the corner store are losing, Amazon and Apple and Microsoft are cleaning up.  Even if you can\u2019t or won\u2019t go to the local store, Amazon is lining up packages at your door.  And even if you don\u2019t want to leave your property, there\u2019s even more time to build that fence, or deck, or addition.  That\u2019s why there almost no construction lumber left around (check you nearby lumberyard).   We\u2019re all digging postholes, pouring Quikrete, and building fences.  If only we could find the pickets, we could all finish \u201cgood fences\u201d and become \u201cgood neighbors\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Folks aren\u2019t invested in Mom and Pop Incorporated on Wall Street. But they sure are in Amazon, Apple, UPS, and all of the other industries legitimately profiting from the COVID crisis.\u00a0\u00a0And that\u2019s not even including investing in companies building ventilators, or developing pharmaceuticals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Enter the Fed<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

And to add to all of that, the Federal Reserve is making sure there\u2019s lots of \u201cfree money\u201d around for investment.\u00a0\u00a0The current Federal Reserve lending rate is \u00bc of one percent annually (Bankrates<\/a>). In non-mathematics, that means it costs 25\u00a2 a year for each $100 you borrow.\u00a0\u00a0Essentially then, if you can get the best Federal Reserve rate, they\u2019ll loan you money for virtually nothing.\u00a0\u00a0Even more realistically, right now the current thirty-year mortgage rate, something most homeowners understand, is 3% (Bankrate<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So there\u2019s lots of money out there, and folks are using it to buy into the stock market.\u00a0\u00a0More buyers mean that the share prices go up, and that keeps Wall Street \u201clooking good\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0It also provides political fodder for the Trump 2020 campaign that proclaims the \u201chealth\u201d of the economy based on the Dow Jones Industrial Average.\u00a0\u00a0It\u2019s now just a little over a thousand points below the record highs of the beginning of the year (Marketwatch<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Strategic Flaws<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

But there are two \u201cflaws\u201d to worry about if you\u2019re the Trump 2020 campaign.\u00a0\u00a0First is all of those 51 million drawing unemployment.\u00a0\u00a0Most of them know why they aren\u2019t working, and COVID is the answer.\u00a0\u00a0If they draw the straight line from the COVID disaster to Trump, it\u2019ll mean a disaster for Trump at the polls.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And there\u2019s a second, more existential moral question.\u00a0\u00a0If the United States economy is rolling by ignoring the human toll of COVID, then what kind of nation are we?\u00a0\u00a0I can\u2019t say that Trump or his campaign is concerned about that, but I can hope that there are Trump supporters that are.\u00a0\u00a0Certainly if they are mourning the loss of a loved one, those market numbers don\u2019t create much joy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s all in where you are economically. If you are doing well with money in the market, you’re doing even better. If you are unemployed, especially because of the pandemic, things are looking pretty grim. And if you are at risk from the pandemic with little being done to protect you from infection, well, Good Luck. You’re not the priority.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In the Market We have a little investment account, setup with the Schwab Company. It\u2019s been there for years though there\u2019s not a ton of money in it. But it serves as an ultimate backstop if we would need finance. I\u2019ve learned not to dwell on it. The stocks go up, the stocks go down; … Continue reading “What Planet is Wall Street On?”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat Planet is Wall Street On? : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Near 170000 Americans have died from COVID since March. 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