{"id":2771,"date":"2020-02-24T11:10:23","date_gmt":"2020-02-24T16:10:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=2771"},"modified":"2020-02-24T11:10:26","modified_gmt":"2020-02-24T16:10:26","slug":"money-cant-buy-me-love","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2020\/02\/24\/money-cant-buy-me-love\/","title":{"rendered":"Money Can’t Buy Me Love"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Beatles, of course<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buying the Farm<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pete Buttigieg made the comment in the Las Vegas debates.  After \u201cSuper Tuesday,\u201d he said, Democrats may be faced with a choice between Mike who wants to \u201cbuy the party,\u201d and Bernie that wants to \u201cburn it down\u201d.  Mike Bloomberg has spent close to half a billion dollars to win the Democratic nomination.  That\u2019s more than all the other candidates, Democratic or Republican, have spent in this election cycle.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

No one will \u201cbuy\u201d Mike Bloomberg with campaign contributions.  He\u2019s bought himself, and he\u2019s trying to buy the rest of us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rest of the Democratic candidates depend on others to raise the funds to finance their campaigns.  Some, like Bernie and Elizabeth Warren, claim that they only take individual small contributions.  They try to hammer other candidates, notably Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg, for taking donations from \u201cbillionaires,\u201d particularly billionaires in \u201cwine caves\u201d.   But no \u201cbillionaire\u201d is putting their \u201cbillions\u201d into anyone\u2019s campaign, other than Mayor Bloomberg and Tom Steyer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On March 3rd<\/sup> we will get to see if Bloomberg\u2019s millions can \u201cbuy\u201d an election.  That will be the first time his name will be on the ballot, and since it\u2019s \u201cSuper Tuesday\u201d with seventeen state primaries up for grabs, we\u2019ll see.  Bloomberg has placed a huge bet, close to $400 million, that he can change the Democratic narrative.  One day will tell the tale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We will get a \u201cfield test\u201d of the money strategy this Saturday in South Carolina.  Tom Steyer has spent $20 million in that state alone to try to make a dent.  Steyer is no Bloomberg, but we should get some idea of the impact of mass spending. We will see if the adage \u201cif a little money is good, a lot of money is better\u201d is valid when it comes to votes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amounts are Relative<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Money has always been important in politics.  In the early 1980\u2019s I was a twenty-four year old campaign manager trying to get my candidate elected to city council. We had a $15000 campaign budget.  There was an offer from a member of Cincinnati\u2019s \u201celite\u201d:  the candidate would come have a \u201ctalk\u201d and a $10,000 check would conclude the discussion. $10,000 would more than double our budget, letting us go \u201con the air\u201d with commercials. The problem we (the candidate and I) had was when over half of your campaign funds comes from a single source, how does that person NOT control what you do?  We never got the money.  We didn\u2019t win the council race either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In one of our famous \u201cfamily\u201d discussions this weekend, we talked about how influential money was.  We were talking about what happens if there is a \u201cbrokered\u201d Democratic Convention, with no one candidate having a majority of the votes.  The younger end of the table was convinced that the \u201cmoney\u201d would step in and stop Bernie Sanders.  They went on to say that when it happened, it would fragment the party so badly that it would guarantee Trump\u2019s re-election.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berne Down the House<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

If Bernie doesn\u2019t have a majority going into the convention, it would surprise me if other candidates don\u2019t try to take the nomination.  After all, that is the process:  there is a \u201cfirst\u201d vote, with all delegates locked into their pledge for their candidate, and the so-called \u201csuper delegates\u201d not allowed to vote at all.  If a candidate wins a majority on that first vote, then they are the Democratic nominee for President.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But if one candidate doesn\u2019t win, then the rules change.  Delegates are allowed to move from their \u201cpledged\u201d position and choose a different candidate.  The \u201csuper delegates,\u201d who represent the structure of the Democratic Party, can now add their votes, approximately another 500 our of the over 4000 delegate voters.  It is called a brokered convention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Back Before Elvis<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The last time that happened was 1952.  The Democrats were replacing Harry Truman, who chose not to run for a third term as President.  Illinois Governor Adlai Stevenson was able to grasp the nomination from Tennessee Senator Estes Kefauver.  Kefauver led the first ballot, but Stevenson\u2019s candidacy took hold on the second vote.  It took three votes for him to reach the majority.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Republicans had a brokered convention as well that year.   While General Eisenhower ended up with the nomination, he wasn\u2019t even the only General in the running.  Douglas MacArthur was there, as well as Senator Bob Taft from Ohio.   Eisenhower was close on the first vote, and after some wheeling and dealing, was declared the unanimous choice before a second vote was officially taken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But 1952 was a long time ago.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Whether a political party could survive the results of a brokered convention today is questionable.  But if Bernie doesn\u2019t win the Democratic nomination outright, the machinations against him won\u2019t necessarily be about money.  There are many older and more institutional Democrats who are afraid of the electoral outcome of running an avowed socialist for President.  For Bernie to win the Presidency, he\u2019s going to have to show that his \u201crevolution\u201d, all of the new votes he has for the party, are there.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The way for him to do that is to win the nomination outright.  If he can\u2019t then he lends credence to the argument that a Sanders candidacy will lead the Democrats to another historic outcome:  the McGovern debacle of 1972.  Bernie needs to prove \u201cthe revolution\u201d on Super Tuesday, or Democrats face a fractious spring. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

For great information on campaign donations \u2013 check this site \u2013<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Open Secrets \u2013 Contribution Information<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Beatles, of course Buying the Farm Pete Buttigieg made the comment in the Las Vegas debates.  After \u201cSuper Tuesday,\u201d he said, Democrats may be faced with a choice between Mike who wants to \u201cbuy the party,\u201d and Bernie that wants to \u201cburn it down\u201d.  Mike Bloomberg has spent close to half a billion dollars to win … Continue reading “Money Can’t Buy Me Love”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nMoney Can't Buy Me Love : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Democrats woke up Sunday facing a Sanders win for President. 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