{"id":2694,"date":"2020-01-22T09:53:41","date_gmt":"2020-01-22T14:53:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=2694"},"modified":"2020-01-22T09:53:46","modified_gmt":"2020-01-22T14:53:46","slug":"what-about-bernie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2020\/01\/22\/what-about-bernie\/","title":{"rendered":"What About Bernie"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em>The Trial<\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><em>The Trial of Donald John Trump continues in the US Senate.&nbsp;&nbsp;Last night\u2019s session went deep into the early morning hours, as Democrats forced the Republican controlled Senate to vote down each piece of new evidence and each possible witness. Their strategy caught the President\u2019s \u201cTeam\u201d unprepared, their pants beyond even down; they forgot to bring them.&nbsp;&nbsp;But they managed to come back with echoes of the House Republicans, even Jim Jordan\u2019s four part litany made its appearance.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Surely the Republican Senators were squirming through the night, both because of the votes now on the record, and the national contrast between the sharp and articulate House Managers and the buffoonish \u201cTeam\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;But technically that didn\u2019t matter:&nbsp;&nbsp;in the end, Mitch McConnell has blocked new evidence and witnesses, at least for the moment.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>We\u2019ll probably get to do the whole thing over again in a couple of weeks.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Polls<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Today\u2019s latest polls for the early Democratic Primaries (courtesy of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/latest_polls\/democratic_nomination_polls\/\">RealClearPolitics):<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>National&nbsp;\u2013 Biden 27, Sanders 20, Warren 19, Buttigieg 7, Bloomberg 5, everyone else \u2264 3 (1\/18\/20)<\/li><li>Iowa&nbsp;\u2013 Biden 24, Warren 18, Buttigieg 16, Sanders 14, Klobuchar 11, everyone else \u2264 4% (1\/20\/20)<\/li><li>New Hampshire&nbsp;\u2013 Sanders 16, Biden 15, Buttigieg 12, Warren 10, Yang 6, everyone else \u22645&nbsp;&nbsp;(1\/21\/20)<\/li><li>South Carolina&nbsp;\u2013 Biden 36, Steyer 15, Sanders 14, Warren 10, everyone else&nbsp;&nbsp;\u2264 4 (1\/10\/20).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Polls are a lot like a picture of a scene taken from a car speeding down the interstate.&nbsp;&nbsp;For a split second, the moment is captured forever \u201con film\u201d.&nbsp;&nbsp;What happens the next moment, or hour, may completely change the story.&nbsp;&nbsp;But you have the snapshot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Joe Biden<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>So looking at the \u201csnapshots\u201d above, Joe Biden seems to be in a good position. He is strongly ahead in the national poll.&nbsp;&nbsp;And in the more significant local polls, Joe is somewhat ahead in Iowa, within a percentage of New Hampshire, and outdistancing the field in South Carolina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And yet, Democrats are not at all sure about banking the future on the former Vice President.&nbsp;&nbsp;In part, that\u2019s because they feel one \u201coutstanding gaffe\u201d from Biden himself changing the entire scenario.&nbsp;&nbsp;He\u2019s made a political career of those gaffes, and every time he speaks, we are on the cusp of another (<a href=\"https:\/\/slate.com\/news-and-politics\/2009\/09\/introducing-bidenisms.html\">Biden\u2019s Gaffes through history<\/a>).&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden may be the Democratic \u201clowest common denominator\u201d that all sides can get to, and he may be the surest chance of beating Donald Trump in November.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;But he has to keep it together, and he needs to gain support from all wings of the Democratic Party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Winds of Change<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>So the Democratic nomination is not \u201cwrapped\u201d up.&nbsp;&nbsp;There is a strong force on the \u201cleft\u201d wing of the Party, Democrats who want a sea change in America\u2019s economy and corporate structures.&nbsp;&nbsp;And they are split between two candidates:&nbsp;&nbsp;Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the purest in the Social Democratic set, Bernie Sanders is the gold standard.&nbsp;&nbsp;He has led the cause for more than thirty years.&nbsp;&nbsp;He stood so long for his independent brand of \u201cDemocrat-ism\u201d that he is the icon, the symbol of radical change.&nbsp;&nbsp;Elizabeth Warren grew under his shade and protection.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Her campaign must seem a bit more than \u201cungrateful\u201d to Bernie\u2019s supporters.&nbsp;&nbsp;They must feel that it\u2019s Bernie\u2019s turn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a simple calculation that makes Warren\u2019s candidacy even more difficult for Bernie\u2019s supporters to swallow.&nbsp;&nbsp;The math is pretty simple, subtract Warren from the race and add her votes to Sanders.&nbsp;&nbsp;It puts him ahead nationally, and everywhere else except for South Carolina.&nbsp;&nbsp;Warren dilutes the field, leaving it open for Biden to sweep in and take over.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is politics, not tidily-winks, and all things are fair in politics and war.&nbsp;&nbsp;Warren didn\u2019t have to get anyone\u2019s permission to run for President, and her supporters would say that it\u2019s Bernie that is diluting the race.&nbsp;&nbsp;And we now know that Warren and Sanders had serious discussions about this problem two years ago. Part of that discussion certainly had to be how to get one of them to NOT run.&nbsp;&nbsp;Whether the question of a woman running came up, and what either said about that isn\u2019t the point, though that issue is now a serious concern on the campaign trail.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Clinton\u2019s Attack<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>At least one person sees a path to the nomination for Bernie Sanders.&nbsp;&nbsp;Hillary Clinton has weighed in on the 2020 election campaign, using a \u201cHulu Documentary\u201d to attack him.&nbsp;&nbsp;Unable to run herself, she is loath to allow Sanders the nomination.&nbsp;&nbsp;There are probably several reasons for this.&nbsp;&nbsp;There was no love lost between Sanders and Clinton in 2016, and her mathematical calculations probably conclude that Sanders cost her the Presidency.&nbsp;&nbsp;Secretary Clinton may simply be getting paybacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But there are two other factors that might be influencing the former candidate.&nbsp;&nbsp;One is the close ties the Clinton\u2019s have to Wall Street.&nbsp;&nbsp;The term \u201cRepublican lite\u201d was defined for Bill Clinton\u2019s Presidency, and if nothing else, Sanders presents a threat to America\u2019s investment houses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Snapshots<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Or, like many moderate Democrats, Hillary may have reached the conclusion that Sanders might be able to win the nomination, but could never win the Presidency.&nbsp;&nbsp;Even against an impeachment-wounded Donald Trump, Sanders would be painted as a \u201cradical, socialist, communist,\u201d an image that could be fatal.&nbsp;&nbsp;Unlike Clinton herself, or Biden, or other seasoned candidates; no one has gone \u201cfull negative\u201d against Bernie Sanders.&nbsp;&nbsp;Democrats haven\u2019t, because they needed Sanders\u2019 support and his supporters, just as Clinton did in 2016.&nbsp;&nbsp;So no one has even tipped over \u201cthe rock\u201d of Sander\u2019s career as a \u201cmillionaire socialist\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So today, as we stand at the edge of the Democratic primaries, we wait.\u00a0\u00a0Wait to see if the Bernie supporters have really found a font of political support in the young.\u00a0\u00a0Wait to see if somehow Warren\/Sanders becomes one movement.\u00a0\u00a0And, we still wait for Joe Biden to \u201cdrop the ball\u201d once again.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Elections are snapshots too.\u00a0\u00a0Few Democrats in America believed that the Trump snapshot taken in November of 2016  could happen.\u00a0\u00a0But it did; now Democrats are haunted by the possibility it could happen again. And, unlike polls, those election snapshots have consequences.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Trial The Trial of Donald John Trump continues in the US Senate.&nbsp;&nbsp;Last night\u2019s session went deep into the early morning hours, as Democrats forced the Republican controlled Senate to vote down each piece of new evidence and each possible witness. Their strategy caught the President\u2019s \u201cTeam\u201d unprepared, their pants beyond even down; they forgot &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2020\/01\/22\/what-about-bernie\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;What About Bernie&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What About Bernie : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As the nation moves into the depths of &quot;The Trial&quot; - Democrats battle for the early votes in the nominating process. 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