{"id":2578,"date":"2019-12-05T08:43:43","date_gmt":"2019-12-05T13:43:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=2578"},"modified":"2019-12-05T08:43:48","modified_gmt":"2019-12-05T13:43:48","slug":"the-ukrainian-dilemma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2019\/12\/05\/the-ukrainian-dilemma\/","title":{"rendered":"The Ukrainian Dilemma"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Nation at War<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ukraine is at war with Russia.  Ukraine is the 29th<\/sup> most powerful country in the world, rated just behind Greece and Thailand.  There have 1,205,000 in military service.  Russia is the second most powerful force in the world, with over 3 million in uniform.   That\u2019s more than the \u201cFirst Place\u201d United States, by the way, with US forces at 2,200,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So if Russia really wants to invade and take over Ukraine, they have the military power to do it.  And it\u2019s clear that the Russia\u2019s President Vladimir Putin wants to take over, to \u201cget Ukraine\u201d.  He\u2019s already taken one province, Crimea and invaded two others.  Putin wants today\u2019s Russia to regain the \u201clost empire\u201d of the Soviet Union.  And it\u2019s not just Ukraine:  Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Belarus, and Moldova, are other European nations \u201con the block\u201d for Russian expansion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So what\u2019s stopping Putin\u2019s dream of Russian empire?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Russian Empire<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

There is the European Union, and NATO.  But most importantly, the United States of America directly supports Ukraine.  Russia recognizes that a full out invasion of Ukraine would, at the least, trigger crippling economic sanctions, and at the worst, a direct confrontation with the US and European military.  The US \u201cthumb\u201d is on the scale, balancing the Russian might.  America knows that their Ukrainian position \u201ctweaks\u201d Russia.  They also know that a full out military confrontation in Ukraine would put US forces in a difficult and dangerous situation.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

When Russia invaded and claimed Crimea, President Obama placed economic sanctions on them.  When Donald Trump was running for President, he made statements saying he would remove those sanctions, essentially accepting the Russian takeover.  Not surprisingly, many Ukrainian leaders spoke out against Trump during the 2016 campaign.  Hillary Clinton was likely to be even tougher on Russia than Obama was.  Reasonably, Ukrainian leaders were hoping she would win.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s not \u201celection interference\u201d as many Republicans are now claiming.  Ukrainian leaders voicing their opinion of what\u2019s best for their own country, even if they do it in editorials in American newspapers, isn\u2019t attacking our election process.  That\u2019s what the Russians were doing, from manipulating social media to hacking political emails, to direct attacks on US voting systems.  What the Ukrainian leaders did was the same kind of thing that Donald Trump does for Boris Johnson in the United Kingdom and Ben Netanyahu in Israel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Ukraine, regardless of whether Trump or Clinton is President, every ounce of US backing is important.\u00a0\u00a0Since the Russian invasion, the Ukrainian Presidents, Poroschenko and Zelenskiy, have done everything they could to guarantee US aid, particularly military aid, to their nation.\u00a0\u00a0US support for Ukrainians is not a luxury. It is a survival issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fall of Communism<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union.  Much like Russia, when the Communist regime collapsed there, a huge amount of publicly owned industry went onto the open market.  Then the \u201csupply and demand\u201d of capitalism played out.  The supply of industry and property on the market was high:  that made those values lower.  Communism\u2019s collapse created a fire sale on much of Ukraine\u2019s means of production, and speculators made and lost huge fortunes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It was an environment ripe for corruption, for buying officials to get an inside line on the sales.\u00a0\u00a0It happened in both Russia and Ukraine, and created a new class of the wealthy called \u201coligarchs\u201d.\u00a0\u00a0Many of them got their millions illegally, and those that didn\u2019t were forced to pay for illegal action to protect them.\u00a0\u00a0Organized crime and organized government often became one and the same.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Corruption, Corruption, Corruption<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

So corruption was a huge issue in Ukraine.  Before the Russian invasion, in 2014 the people of Ukraine rose up against the Russian backed President, Victor Yanukovych, who rose from serving prison time to become a billionaire during his political career.  He\u2019s the one that Trump Campaign Chairman Paul Manafort worked for.  Once Yanukovych fled to Moscow, the people ransacked his multi-million dollar home.  They found a journal, listing illegal payments, including $12 million \u201cunder the table\u201d to Manafort.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even with Yanukovych gone, the United States and the European Union still had great concerns about Ukrainian corruption.\u00a0\u00a0Vice President Biden led in putting pressure on the Ukrainian government to move against that corruption, even demanding the removal of the State Prosecutor, who wasn\u2019t investigating the Russian backed leaders in exile.\u00a0\u00a0Biden, following US and EU direction, threatened to withhold aid to do it.\u00a0\u00a0The Prosecutor, Viktor Shokin was fired and a new prosecutor, willing to prosecute, was brought in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over a Barrel<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Ukraine is over a barrel, the barrel of a Russian tank.  When President Trump asked the new President, Zelenskiy, \u201cto do us a favor, though\u2026\u201d on the infamous July 25th<\/sup> phone call, Zelenskiy didn\u2019t have much of a choice.  When he discovered the US military aid and US recognition of his new administration in a White House meeting were being withheld, he had to find a way to grant the favor that Trump wanted. He scheduled a CNN interview, to announce investigations into the Joe and Hunter Biden and Counter Strike, as Mr. Trump asked. Only when the US Congress became aware of the funds block and pressured Trump to release it, did the Ukrainian leader cancel with CNN.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So when President Zelenskiy is asked today whether he was \u201cpressured\u201d by Mr. Trump, of course he says no.  The aid of the United States is critical and the Trump Administration still controls it.  Zelenskiy is like the kid in the principal\u2019s office, hit by a bully.  When the principal asks, \u201cwho did this to you,\u201d the kid answers \u201cI don\u2019t know\u201d.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The bully is still out there, and the kid doesn\u2019t want to get hit again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Nation at War Ukraine is at war with Russia.  Ukraine is the 29th most powerful country in the world, rated just behind Greece and Thailand.  There have 1,205,000 in military service.  Russia is the second most powerful force in the world, with over 3 million in uniform.   That\u2019s more than the \u201cFirst Place\u201d United States, by the way, with … Continue reading “The Ukrainian Dilemma”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2578","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Ukrainian Dilemma : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"For Ukraine, the politics of the United States is a life or death issue. 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