{"id":2305,"date":"2019-09-18T09:34:32","date_gmt":"2019-09-18T13:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=2305"},"modified":"2019-09-18T09:34:39","modified_gmt":"2019-09-18T13:34:39","slug":"our-saudi-friends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2019\/09\/18\/our-saudi-friends\/","title":{"rendered":"Our Saudi Friends"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
Yemen<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Civil War<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Yemen has been at war for four years. The civil war broke out in 2015 against the government led by former Field Marshal,\u00a0Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi.\u00a0\u00a0The leading opponent in the struggle is the insurgent Houthi force.\u00a0\u00a0The Houthis control the eastern part of the nation, including the capital at Sana\u2019a. Hadi\u2019s forces control much of the rest of the nation.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In addition to the government forces and the Houthi, Al Qaeda in the Arab Peninsula and even ISIS has some territory in the region.  And a third breakaway group, the Southern Transitional Council, controls the main port at Aden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yemen borders Saudi Arabia and Oman, and has a critical geographic position at the junction of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, leading to the Indian Ocean.\u00a0 The geography alone makes Yemen of world interest, but the addition of both Al Qaeda and ISIS earned the attention of the United States.\u00a0\u00a0US Special Forces operate against the terrorists groups, and the US has a significant drone assassination program in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Proxy War<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Saudi Arabia has actively taken the side of the government forces, including launching air attacks and putting troops in the country.\u00a0\u00a0The United States is providing logistical and intelligence support.\u00a0\u00a0Iran is supporting the Houthi side.\u00a0\u00a0If it sounds like a mess, it is.\u00a0\u00a0Over 10 million civilians are caught in the middle of this conflict. According to the organization\u00a0Save the Children,\u00a0<\/em>a thousand children are dying each week from preventable diseases.\u00a0\u00a0Over 90,000 combatants have been killed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The war is in part a \u201cproxy\u201d fight between the two largest Islamic nations in the Middle East.\u00a0Saudi Arabia and Iran are both heavily invested in their sides.\u00a0\u00a0And like most \u201cproxy wars\u201d the attacks have spilled over to direct action against each other.\u00a0\u00a0The most recent drone and missile attack on two Saudi oil refineries, puts them into direct conflict.\u00a0\u00a0US intelligence believes that they were originated and controlled by the Iranian government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The loss of oil production is causing a spike in world oil prices; to say that the problem is between Saudi Arabia and Iran is na\u00efve.\u00a0\u00a0Conflict in the Middle East always impacts the entire globe; and Europe and the United States are particularly affected.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US in the Middle East<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The United States historically has been willing to use military force to protect oil resources. The Persian Gulf War in 1991 was characterized as protecting Kuwait from Iraqi invasion, but Iraq\u2019s control of Kuwaiti oil resources and proximity to the Saudi oil fields was the critical factor. The US drove the Iraqis out of Kuwait, but in 1991 stopped short of invading Iraq.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2003 the United States invaded Iraq and  removed Saddam Hussein, the dictator of the country.  With Hussein\u2019s dictatorial regime removed, Iraq fell into sectional conflicts.  The US then spent the next years trying to establish internal control, finally withdrawing most troops by 2011.  Some US forces returned in 2014 to combat ISIS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

President Trump is closely aligned with the foreign policy of Saudi Arabia.\u00a0\u00a0Secretary of State Pompeo is there today, consulting with Mohammad bin Salman, the Crown Prince of the nation.\u00a0\u00a0We have backed the Saudis in Yemen, and ignored human rights violations there. In addition, we ignored the Saudi’s brutal assassination and dismemberment of a Washington Post columnist in Istanbul.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

President Trump is also closely allied with the embattled Prime Minister of Israel, Netanyahu, who sees Iran as the existential threat to Israel\u2019s existence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And President Trump himself is in a continual struggle with Iran. When he was elected, Trump withdrew the US from the Joint Agreement controlling Iranian nuclear development, and reinstated harsh economic sanctions on the country.\u00a0\u00a0Just last month the Iranians shot down a US drone, and the US responded with a crippling cyber-attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Saudi-Iranian War<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The United States is NOT in a joint-defense agreement with Saudi Arabia, and we are no longer dependent on Saudi oil to directly supply American needs.  But the President has close contacts with the Saudi royal family, and consistently praises their actions.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It won\u2019t be a surprise if the Saudis respond to the oil refinery attacks with direct strikes at Iran itself.  And should Iran respond to those attacks, it also shouldn\u2019t be a surprise if the United States unilaterally stands with Saudi Arabia.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But after three wars in the region (Persian Gulf, Iraq and ISIS) and the eighteen-year struggle in Afghanistan, the US should be very careful about starting a direct war with the largest military force in the Middle East, Iran.\u00a0The US cannot depend on NATO or the European Union to join in, and is looking at an opponent better armed and organized than Afghanistan or Iraq.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In short, a war with Iran would be an ugly, deadly, and many-year conflict.  The United States still has a choice, but the deciding moment is coming soon.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Civil War Yemen has been at war for four years. The civil war broke out in 2015 against the government led by former Field Marshal,\u00a0Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi.\u00a0\u00a0The leading opponent in the struggle is the insurgent Houthi force.\u00a0\u00a0The Houthis control the eastern part of the nation, including the capital at Sana\u2019a. Hadi\u2019s forces control much of … Continue reading “Our Saudi Friends”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nOur Saudi Friends : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"If you're looking for the next US War in the Middle East - now is the time, and Iran is the place. 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