{"id":2277,"date":"2019-09-08T09:55:30","date_gmt":"2019-09-08T13:55:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=2277"},"modified":"2019-09-08T09:55:36","modified_gmt":"2019-09-08T13:55:36","slug":"three-way-handshake","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2019\/09\/08\/three-way-handshake\/","title":{"rendered":"Three Way Handshake"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
The Camp David Accord<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Unbeknownst to almost everyone, the major Taliban leaders and, separately, the President of Afghanistan, were going to secretly meet with me at Camp David on Sunday. They were coming to the United States tonight. Unfortunately, in order to build false leverage, they admitted to an attack in Kabul that killed one of our great great soldiers, and 11 other people. I immediately cancelled the meeting and called off peace negotiations. What kind of people would kill so many in order to seemingly strengthen their bargaining position? They didn\u2019t, they only made it worse! If they cannot agree to a ceasefire during these very important peace talks, and would even kill 12 innocent people, then they probably don\u2019t have the power to negotiate a meaningful agreement anyway. How many more decades are they willing to fight? \u2013 Donald J. Trump Tweet \u2013 9\/7\/19<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yesterday, President Trump tweeted that he was cancelling a secret meeting at Camp David.  The meeting was kept secret because it was supposed to include the President of the United States, the President of Afghanistan, and leadership from their opponent in the Afghan War for eighteen years, the Taliban.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Eighteen-Year War<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The American envoy to negotiations with the Taliban recently announced the framework for an agreement, allowing US troops to withdraw from the longest war in American history over the next eighteen months (to read the Trump World essay about the negotiations and an outline of the framework, link here: \u201c<\/em>Deal with the Taliban<\/em><\/a>\u201d.) <\/em> The core of the deal was that the US would leave, and, the Taliban would negotiate with the Afghan government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The current Afghan government sees the Taliban as an existential threat to modern Afghanistan. The Taliban ruled there from 1994 until the US invasion in 2001.  They enforced a strict form of historic Islamic control, Sharia law that in many ways put the country into the eighth century.  Women had no rights; freedom of speech, or even thought was banned or controlled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Taliban are making it clear that they are negotiating from strength.  They have launched a series of suicide bombings in Afghanistan. This week, a US soldier was among the victims in an attack.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Negotiating from Strength<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

President Trump claims that as his excuse for cancelling the Camp David meetings.  It seems that the President was hoping for a breakthrough there, perhaps emulating the famous \u201cCamp David Accord\u201d negotiated by President Jimmy Carter between archenemies Begin of Israel and Sadat of Egypt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But then the last attack occurred, another American was killed and the President said, it was enough. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At least, that\u2019s what he said in his tweet.  His Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, is doubling down on the President\u2019s reasoning on the Sunday morning news shows.  But there is a real question about what happened with the Camp David meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Did the President cancel the meetings, or did one of the participants refuse to attend?  Did the US recognize that the Taliban weren\u2019t negotiated in good faith, or did the US realize that the strength of the Taliban was so much greater than the US, that they had no reason to negotiate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The facts are:  the United States is going to withdraw from Afghanistan.  After eighteen years of war, the US Government, military, and the American people, don\u2019t have the will to maintain the long-term stalemate we have achieved. We know it, the Afghan government knows it, and most importantly, the Taliban know it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And besides, the President announced that\u2019s what he wanted to do.\u00a0\u00a0That was from the candidate who ran for office claiming that you never give away your goal in negotiations, never tell \u201cthe other side\u201d what you really want or will take.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Winning the War<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The Taliban have proven they are willing to accept a seemingly unlimited amount of pain and suffering to end the US presence.  Like the Communists in Vietnam in the late 1960\u2019s, they are willing to continue to fight, and wait for the US to come to their terms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And Trump faces difficult pressures.\u00a0\u00a0He desperately needs a foreign policy \u201cvictory.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0His diplomacy has failed:\u00a0\u00a0in China, North Korea, Europe, and the Middle East.\u00a0\u00a0The President promised his voters he would get the US out of Afghanistan.\u00a0With the election of 2020 looming, he needs to accomplish something, anything, and soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But he also faces pressure from the more traditional conservative Republicans, who are unwilling to leave the American mission in Afghanistan.  American casualties reinforce their view that we should not negotiate with the Taliban.  They are still looking for a military miracle to end the Afghanistan War in victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So Trump lost his chance for a \u201cTrumpian Camp David Accord;\u201d no three-way handshake.  The surprise is that the President felt the need to tweet out a \u201csecret\u201d meeting.  It’s more likely, he was getting the \u201cfirst word\u201d in before one of the other participants backed out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And in the final analysis, President Trump should know the answer to his question:\u00a0How many more decades are they willing to fight?\u00a0\u00a0<\/em>It\u2019s simple, they are willing to fight longer than the United States.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Unbeknownst to almost everyone, the major Taliban leaders and, separately, the President of Afghanistan, were going to secretly meet with me at Camp David on Sunday. They were coming to the United States tonight. Unfortunately, in order to build false leverage, they admitted to an attack in Kabul that killed one of our great great … Continue reading “Three Way Handshake”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nThree Way Handshake : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"President Trump is desperate for a foreign policy win. 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