{"id":1530,"date":"2019-02-12T08:41:49","date_gmt":"2019-02-12T13:41:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/?p=1530"},"modified":"2019-02-12T08:41:49","modified_gmt":"2019-02-12T13:41:49","slug":"homeward-through-the-haze","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2019\/02\/12\/homeward-through-the-haze\/","title":{"rendered":"Homeward Through the Haze"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Homeward Through the Haze*<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Thanks to David Crosby for the title \u2013 <\/em>here\u2019s the song<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The President of the United States, echoed by his supporters and many of my more conservative friends, consistently claims \u201cno collusion with Rush-sha\u201d and \u201cno evidence of collusion.\u201d\u00a0It is the current main attack on the Mueller investigation; that with all thirty-four of their indictments, they haven\u2019t established \u201ccollusion,\u201d or in a more legally correct way, they haven\u2019t demonstrated the legal elements\u00a0\u00a0of conspiracy. Even with four members of the Trump campaign convicted for offenses, the outline of conspiracy is still shrouded in the haze of the ongoing investigation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Conspiracy is the legal \u201ccrime\u201d underlying the laymen\u2019s term of collusion. Conspiracy consists of:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An agreement between two or more people to commit an illegal act, along with an intent to achieve the agreement’s goal.  Most U.S. jurisdictions also require an overt act toward furthering the agreement.  An overt act is a statutory requirement, not a constitutional one. See <\/em>Whitfield v. United States<\/em>, 453 U.S. 209 (2005). The illegal act is the conspiracy’s “target offense.”<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n


Conspiracy generally carries a penalty on its own.  In addition, conspiracies allow for derivative liability where conspirators can also be punished for the illegal acts carried out by other members, even if they were not directly involved.  Thus, where one or more members of the conspiracy committed illegal acts to further the conspiracy’s goals, all members of the conspiracy may be held accountable for those acts.  (<\/em>Cornell Law Library<\/em><\/a>)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is now emerging from the public reporting and the indictments are three areas where the Mueller team may have found the elements of an illegal conspiracy.  To look at those, we first have to understand the possible \u201cgoals\u201d of the illegal agreement. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

From the Trump side there are three possible goals.  The first, as we now know, was the desire of the Trump Organization to build Trump Tower Moscow.  It was \u201cplayed off\u201d by the Trump\u2019s as a deal that never was more than a dream, but we know now from Michael Cohen\u2019s testimony that they were continuing to pursue the Moscow deal up until the November general election of 2016.  The deal even went so far as an offer to Vladimir Putin for a penthouse suite.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The second area of Russian cooperation was in securing Trump financing over the past several years.\u00a0\u00a0We know that the Trump Organization was unable to get loans from US banks after the failure of the New Jersey Casinos in the 1990\u2019s.\u00a0\u00a0Yet Trump was able to get financing from European banks, particularly Germany\u2019s Deutsche Bank, even after he sued that bank for billions to avoid making a $40 million dollar payment that was due.\u00a0\u00a0We also know that Deutsche Bank has acted as a \u201cmoney launderer\u201d for the Russian oligarchs surrounding Vladimir Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And the third Trump goal was to win the Presidency, with Russian help.\u00a0\u00a0The use of emails stolen by Russian Intelligence from the Democratic National Committee; \u201claundered\u201d through the Wikileaks website, clearly benefited the Trump candidacy.\u00a0\u00a0The essential \u201cmiddleman\u201d between Wikileaks acting as a Russian agent and the campaign is potentially Roger Stone.\u00a0\u00a0In addition, Russian social media strategy was carefully targeted, and we recently found out that some of that targeting information came from the campaign itself through Paul Manafort.\u00a0\u00a0There are also Russian contacts to Cambridge Analytica, the Mercer funded political analytics firm hired by the Trump Campaign, with future Trump Campaign Chairman Steve Bannon as Vice President.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bannon, Manafort, Stone, Mercer:  all had powerful connections to the Trump Campaign (Mercer and his daughter essentially provided the leadership of the campaign, Bannon and Conway, for the general election.)  And, all seem to have some connection to Russia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And what would the \u201cquid pro quo\u201d be for the Russians, what would they get in return for all of this aid to the Trump Organization and campaign?  We know that Manafort was in contact with \u201cassociate\u201d Konstantin Kiliminick (also indicted by Mueller.)  Kiliminick claimed to be a part of Russian military intelligence (GRU) and worked with Manafort in support of the Russian backed President of Ukraine.  They continued to communicate throughout the Trump Campaign, on into the beginning of the Trump Presidency, and even after Manafort was under indictment.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Part of their discussions involved a Russian backed peace deal with the Ukraine, one that would advantage the Russians.\u00a0\u00a0US influence directed by the Trump Presidency would be extremely helpful to the Russians, as the US in the past was a strong advocate for the anti-Russian Ukrainian government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The second benefit, and an ultimate goal of Russian policy towards the United States, was the lifting of sanctions placed on Russian individuals and banks.\u00a0\u00a0Sanctions prevented Russian oligarchs from investing in US companies, and made it difficult for them to move their money out of a more volatile Russia into safer US banks.\u00a0\u00a0It also prevented Russian banks from investing in US companies, reducing their influence in American affairs.\u00a0\u00a0Recently the US Treasury Department reduced sanctions on one Russian oligarch close to Trump campaign members, Oleg Deripaska.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And the third, and perhaps most concerning benefit is the impact of US policy on world alliances.\u00a0\u00a0President Trump supported Brexit, encouraging the dis-union of Europe.\u00a0\u00a0He has consistently threatened the stability of NATO, and even suggested we might withdraw from the organization.\u00a0\u00a0And he is pursuing a tariff policy that is hostile to \u201cfriends,\u201d shaking long-time traditional alliances.\u00a0\u00a0A disunited world places Russia at a greater advantage. Though small economically (11th<\/sup>worldwide by GDP,) modern Russia still has the second most powerful military force.\u00a0\u00a0A divided west makes Russia relatively more powerful.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s still hazy.\u00a0\u00a0The information isn\u2019t yet in the clear legal form of court, and it may not ever get to that stage.\u00a0\u00a0The Congress may be forced to deal with a lot of connections, but no \u201csmoking gun.\u201d\u00a0But we now have a better idea what the Trump organization and the Russians had to gain in cooperation, and we can see the outlines of conspiracy.\u00a0\u00a0And it answers a nagging question we\u2019ve had since the beginning of the Trump Administration: Flynn, Kushner, Papadoupolos, Cohen, Stone, Manafort, Don Jr, and Donald Trump the President; why did they all lie to the American people and perhaps to Congress and the Special Counsel?\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The investigation is coming home, homeward through the haze.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Homeward Through the Haze* *Thanks to David Crosby for the title \u2013 here\u2019s the song The President of the United States, echoed by his supporters and many of my more conservative friends, consistently claims \u201cno collusion with Rush-sha\u201d and \u201cno evidence of collusion.\u201d\u00a0It is the current main attack on the Mueller investigation; that with all thirty-four … Continue reading “Homeward Through the Haze”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nHomeward Through the Haze : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2019\/02\/12\/homeward-through-the-haze\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Homeward Through the Haze : Our America - Essays on Politics and American Life\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Homeward Through the Haze* *Thanks to David Crosby for the title \u2013 here\u2019s the song The President of the United States, echoed by his supporters and many of my more conservative friends, consistently claims \u201cno collusion with Rush-sha\u201d and \u201cno evidence of collusion.\u201d\u00a0It is the current main attack on the Mueller investigation; that with all thirty-four … Continue reading "Homeward Through the Haze"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/dahlman.online\/index.php\/2019\/02\/12\/homeward-through-the-haze\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Our America - 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